Match Info

VHL

Date: 3 December 2025, Wednesday

Location: Dizel-Arena (Penza)


	Dizel Penza		Omskie Krylia

	1	X	2
	3.01	3.71	2.06
	2.89	3.85	2.16	Watch
	3.2	3.85	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↑ (2.49)	3.8 ↓ (3.84)	2.09 ↓ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dizel Penza
30.8%

Draw
24.5%

Omskie Krylia
44.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

24.4%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

23.5%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dizel Penza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dizel Penza's form might have worsened.

Omskie Krylia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Omskie Krylia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dizel Penza than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dizel Penza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Omskie Krylia than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Omskie Krylia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Dizel Penza - Omskie Krylia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
27. Arzamastsev A. (G)	94. Yaroslavlev Y. (G)
68. Rudakov G.	38. Berdyukov G. (C)
75. Pogorishny O. (A)	42. Petrishchev R. (A)
81. Kalmykov D.	27. Shevchenko A.
11. Makhanovsky P. (A)	47. Loktev A.
71. Kolmykov M.	88. Stepanov Y.
Line 2
7. Spitsenko K.	75. Yegorov A.
6. Lukichyov A.	5. Chaika D.
23. Sidlyarov D. (C)	97. Kozhukhov I.
47. Bobylyov V.	78. Leuka P.
10. Popov D.	86. Kozhukhov Y.
Line 3
98. Lyulko V.	57. Pavlikov M.
83. Sukhov S.	82. Murylev A.
41. Lukin V.	11. Anokhovsky N.
95. Pochivalov D.	91. Protapovich A. (A)
97. Borisenkov A.	66. Andreyev S.
Line 4
72. Shvangiradze D.	29. Denisov P.
34. Larichev V.	71. Golodnyuk E.
87. Karapetyan D.	44. Kozhevnikov K.
69. Boluchevsky A.	25. Zlodeyev D.
	8. Nikolenko L.
Substitutes
35. Vyshnik E. (G)	79. Kiselyov Y. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
09:31, 0 - 1, Protapovich A. (G), Anokhovsky N. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 2)
06:54, 0 - 2, Kozhevnikov K. (G),
10:00, 0 - 3, Kozhevnikov K. (G), Nikolenko L. (A), Yegorov A. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
10:27, 0 - 4, Petrishchev R. (G), Berdyukov G. (A), Zlodeyev D. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dizel won 3.

Dizel is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Omskie Krylia has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Dizel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Omskie Krylia has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Dizel won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 25:19. (average 3.1:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Dizel won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:6. (average 4.3:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Dizel Penza - the odds 2.49 are the expected chance of winning is 37.62%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Omskie Krylia - the odds 2.46 are the expected chance of winning is 38%, but this team recently wins 31% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dizel Penza
VHL
01.12.25	Dizel Penza - Zauralie Kurgan	1:0 penalties ✺
29.11.25	Dizel Penza - Rubin Tyumen	6:3 ✺
27.11.25	Dizel Penza - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	0:2 ✺
22.11.25	Buran Voronezh - Dizel Penza	1:3 ✺
20.11.25	Rostov - Dizel Penza	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWLWW
- Omskie Krylia
VHL
30.11.25	Kristall Saratov - Omskie Krylia	2:1 ✺
25.11.25	Omskie Krylia - Izhstal	1:2 ✺
23.11.25	Omskie Krylia - Toros Neftekamsk	7:0 ✺
21.11.25	Omskie Krylia - Molot Perm	4:0 ✺
19.11.25	Omskie Krylia - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
26.01.25	Dizel Penza - Omskie Krylia	3:0
28.10.24	Omskie Krylia - Dizel Penza	3:1
19.12.23	Dizel Penza - Omskie Krylia	4:1
26.10.23	Omskie Krylia - Dizel Penza	1:3
07.01.23	Omskie Krylia - Dizel Penza	5:1
18.10.22	Dizel Penza - Omskie Krylia	6:0
27.12.21	Omskie Krylia - Dizel Penza	4:3

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