Match Info

VHL

Date: 19 February 2026, Thursday

Location: Sports Sarae (Kazan)


	Bars Kazan		Yuzhny Ural Orsk

	1	X	2
	1.88	4.15	3.34
	1.86	3.8	3.76	Watch
	1.95	3.6	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.79)	3.85 (3.85)	3.4 ↓ (3.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bars Kazan
48.8%

Draw
24%

Yuzhny Ural Orsk
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

23.8%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

24.7%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bars Kazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Yuzhny Ural Orsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bars Kazan than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yuzhny Ural Orsk than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	66.7%	0%

Bars Kazan - Yuzhny Ural Orsk Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Bars will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Yuzhny Ural (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Yuzhny Ural (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Line 1
40. Stolpechenkov A. (G)	32. Kudryavtsev S. (G)
53. Makhmutov A.	29. Papst R.
60. Lisov N.	9. Sitnikov V.
61. Khasanov I.	11. Mylnikov D. (A)
9. Alshevsky S. (A)	91. Suslov K. (C)
17. Gizatullin D.	16. Rubtsov S.
Line 2
24. Bogatov N. (A)	88. Krylov I. (A)
71. Samigullin R.	27. Ostrovsky S.
10. Galeyev I.	98. Kuimov Y.
96. Nazmutdinov A.	15. Putilov A.
93. Barsukov I.	77. Zakharov I.
Line 3
16. Toporkov V.	17. Kovalchuk P.
84. Safin A.	18. Zotov F.
55. Sherstnyov D.	10. Shindyaev K.
28. Golubev D. (C)	96. Kurkin M.
64. Gazizov R.	79. Timashev I.
Line 4
5. Mubaraksins A.	78. Beshkorov K.
32. Vasilkov A.	92. Gatiyatulin I.
23. Zinovyev D.	8. Vikulin K.
88. Alshevsky Y.	23. Yefimov I.
	28. Samokhvalov M.
Substitutes
80. Chibizov A. (G)	35. Snytko A. (G)
89. Kalimullin A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
04:13, 1 - 0, Barsukov I. (G), Galeyev I. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (3 - 1)
00:11, 2 - 0, Lisov N. (G), Khasanov I. (A), Makhmutov A. (A2)
00:57, 3 - 0, Nazmutdinov A. (G), Galeyev I. (A), Bogatov N. (A2)
03:10, 4 - 0, Khasanov I. (G), Gizatullin D. (A), Samigullin R. (A2)
19:25, 4 - 1, Putilov A. (G), Ostrovsky S. (A), Krylov I. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bars won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Bars may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Bars is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bars won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 52:49. (average 2.6:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Bars won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 29:30. (average 2.4:2.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
5	Orsk	12	5	3	3	1	35:22	19
12	Bars	14	7	0	1	6	35:44	15

Last Results with these Odds

Yuzhny Ural Orsk - the odds 3.69 are the expected chance of winning is 24.88%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Bars Kazan
VHL
17.02.26	Bars Kazan - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	4:1 ✺
15.02.26	Bars Kazan - Chelmet	1:3 ✺
13.02.26	Bars Kazan - Gornyak-UGMK	4:1 ✺
09.02.26	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Bars Kazan	2:1 penalties ✺
07.02.26	Molot Perm - Bars Kazan	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLWLL
- Yuzhny Ural Orsk
VHL
13.02.26	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Dinamo St. Petersburg	0:3 ✺
11.02.26	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - SKA-VMF	2:3 OT ✺
07.02.26	Norilsk - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	1:0 ✺
04.02.26	Sokol Krasnoyarsk - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	0:1 ✺
02.02.26	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.2 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
25.09.25	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Bars Kazan	1:4
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
26.08.25	Bars Kazan - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	2:1 penalties
VHL
19.12.24	Bars Kazan - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	2:5
09.12.24	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Bars Kazan	2:1 penalties
26.11.23	Bars Kazan - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	6:2
16.11.23	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Bars Kazan	3:1
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
09.08.23	Bars Kazan - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	0:3

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