Match Info

Polish Hockey League - Round 36

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	Polski Hokej TV


	Zagłębie Sosnowiec		GKS Jastrzębie

	1	X	2
	1.39	5.05	5.15	Watch
	1.44	5.17	5.06	Watch
	1.32	5.4	6.44
	1.28	6.25	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.48)	5.47 ↑ (5)	5.54 ↑ (5.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zagłębie Sosnowiec
67%

Draw
16.6%

GKS Jastrzębie
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.9%

18.6%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4%

19.4%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zagłębie Sosnowiec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

GKS Jastrzębie has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zagłębie Sosnowiec than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zagłębie Sosnowiec that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for GKS Jastrzębie than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Zagłębie Sosnowiec - GKS Jastrzębie Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Lineups

Line 1
53. Halonen N. (G)	33. Kaarlehto K. (G)
6. Ciura B.	76. Bagin E.
70. Bjorkung V.	56. Adamek J.
12. Piipponen J.	20. Nalewajka L.
26. Alanen J.	5. Sihvonen R.
88. Jokinen J.	23. Berzins D.
Line 2
51. Wanacki J.	13. Onak J.
77. Narog M.	4. Bezuska P.
55. Gromadzki A.	8. Slusarczyk J.
20. Roine M.	28. Kielbicki S.
8. Chmielewski A.	92. Urbanowicz M.
Line 3
71. Kotlorz M.	3. Hanzel P.
9. Bilas K.	9. Charvat M.
13. Brynkus S.	44. Laszkiewicz O.
80. Hamalainen A.	22. Nalewajka R.
94. Sirkia V.	26. Stolarski B.
Line 4
57. Nahunko D.	88. Wojciechowski F.
4. Krawczyk O.	24. Kolat D.
19. Soltys J.	14. Mos K.
86. Kaczynski E.	27. Kuzak M.
98. Bernacki M.
Substitutes
21. Miarka M. (G)	31. Michalski K. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 3)
04:10, 0 - 1, Kielbicki S. (G), Slusarczyk J. (A), Bezuska P. (A2)
11:12, 0 - 2, Urbanowicz M. (G), Charvat M. (A), Bezuska P. (A2)
12:49, 0 - 3, Sihvonen R. (G), Berzins D. (A), Adamek J. (A2)
16:49, 1 - 3, Hamalainen A. (G),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
10:07, 2 - 3, Bjorkung V. (G), Kaczynski E. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 0)

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - Zimní stadion STaRS.

Zagłębie is Qualified for Polish Hockey League (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

GKS Jastrzębie is Qualified for Polish Hockey League (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zagłębie won 4.

Zagłębie has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

GKS Jastrzębie is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

GKS Jastrzębie may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Zagłębie is considered a favorite.

We predict that Zagłębie will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zagłębie won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 44:80. (average 2.2:4).

Including home matches between the teams, Zagłębie won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 26:46. (average 2.2:3.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	8	7	0	0	1	39:15	21
8	Jastrzebie	8	2	1	0	5	15:26	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Zagłębie Sosnowiec
Polska Liga Hokejowa
11.01.26	GKS Tychy - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	5:2 ✺
09.01.26	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Polonia Bytom	4:1 ✺
04.01.26	KH Sanok - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	0:4 ✺
Polish Cup Hockey
30.12.25	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - GKS Jastrzębie	1:4 ✺
28.12.25	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - GKS Katowice	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWWLW
- JKH GKS Jastrzebie
Polska Liga Hokejowa
16.01.26	ComArch Cracovia - GKS Jastrzębie	4:1 ✺
11.01.26	GKS Jastrzębie - TKH Toruń	1:2 ✺
09.01.26	UKH Unia Oświęcim - GKS Jastrzębie	5:1 ✺
06.01.26	GKS Jastrzębie - ComArch Cracovia	3:2 ✺
02.01.26	GKS Katowice - GKS Jastrzębie	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Cup Hockey
30.12.25	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - GKS Jastrzębie	1:4
Polska Liga Hokejowa
18.11.25	GKS Jastrzębie - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	3:4 OT
02.11.25	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - GKS Jastrzębie	5:3
05.10.25	GKS Jastrzębie - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:3
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
19.08.25	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - GKS Jastrzębie	2:0
Polska Liga Hokejowa
16.02.25	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - GKS Jastrzębie	0:7
05.12.24	GKS Jastrzębie - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	9:1

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