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Current Win Probability
Zagłębie Sosnowiec 60.6%
Draw 19.2%
TKH Toruń 20.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61.8%
19.6%
18.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.1%
20.2%
19.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zagłębie Sosnowiec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
TKH Toruń has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zagłębie Sosnowiec than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for TKH Toruń than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Zagłębie Sosnowiec - TKH Toruń Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
33. Kaarlehto K. (G)
51. Studzinski M. (G)
7. Olkkonen J.
29. Tapio M.
59. Sozanski M.
45. Wilczok W.
88. Savilahti E.
86. Larionovs D.
57. Heikkinen V.
89. Syty N.
87. Peresunko A.
34. Kolesnikov V.
Line 2
77. Narog M.
33. Schafer E.
6. Ciura B.
11. Jaworski A.
13. Brynkus S.
14. Hanzawa C.
18. Roine M.
17. Arrak R.
8. Chmielewski A.
8. Peltola S.
Line 3
51. Wanacki J.
4. Zielinski M.
9. Bilas K.
28. Ossipov R.
94. Sirkia V.
91. Deniskin A.
27. Zachariasz O.
20. Cybulski M.
55. Gromadzki A.
88. Napiorkowski P.
Line 4
71. Kotlorz M.
71. Fraszko A.
10. Ciepielewski P.
94. Giminski J.
98. Bernacki M.
19. Kalinowski M.
97. Dawid M.
12. Smal I.
96. Musiol J.
10. Kalinowski K.
Substitutes
21. Miarka M. (G)
30. Kalmykov R. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 0)
05:00, 1 - 0, Chmielewski A. (G), Roine M. (A), Zachariasz O. (A2)
10:58, 2 - 0, Olkkonen J. (G), Sozanski M. (A), Chmielewski A. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 0)
01:10, 3 - 0, Brynkus S. (G), Narog M. (A), Chmielewski A. (A2)
07:18, 4 - 0, Bilas K. (G), Peresunko A. (A), Wanacki J. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 2)
01:37, 4 - 1, Napiorkowski P. (G), Hanzawa C. (A),
03:23, 5 - 1, Brynkus S. (G), Olkkonen J. (A), Sozanski M. (A2)
10:15, 6 - 1, Olkkonen J. (G), Peresunko A. (A), Heikkinen V. (A2)
17:24, 6 - 2, Deniskin A. (G), Smal I. (A), Wilczok W. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zagłębie won 4.
Zagłębie arrives with excellent momentum after picking up several victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Toruń shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Zagłębie may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Zagłębie has faced a series of away games on the road.
Bookmakers give the edge to Zagłębie for this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Zagłębie has recorded 15 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 82:56 (averaging 4.1:2.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Zagłębie against this opponent, the record stands at 9 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 52:28 goals (averaging 4.7:2.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
1
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
8
7
0
0
1
39:15
21
3
Torun
8
6
0
0
2
32:21
18
Last Results with these Odds
TKH Toruń - the odds 5.02 are the expected chance of winning is 18.58%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.