The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Zauralie Kurgan 38.6%
Draw 25.4%
Tambov 35.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.8%
24.4%
34.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.2%
27%
31.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zauralie Kurgan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
Tambov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zauralie Kurgan than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zauralie Kurgan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tambov than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zauralie won 2.
Recent results have been tough for Zauralie (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Tambov is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Tambov may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Tambov has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
Our forecast points to a victory for Tambov in today's match, at odds of 2.48.
In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, Zauralie has recorded 8 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 33:33 (averaging 2.2:2.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Zauralie against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 13:15 goals (averaging 1.9:2.1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
15
Tambov
11
5
1
1
4
29:31
13
28
Kurgan
10
0
2
4
4
15:27
8
Last Results with these Odds
Zauralie Kurgan - the odds 2.29 are the expected chance of winning is 40.75%, but this team recently wins 52% of matches with these odds.