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Current Win Probability
Zemgale LLU 40.4%
Draw 24%
Kyiv Capitals 35.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
33.1%
21.4%
45.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35%
22.7%
42.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zemgale LLU has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zemgale LLU's performance.
Kyiv Capitals has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kyiv Capitals might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zemgale LLU than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zemgale LLU that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kyiv Capitals than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kyiv Capitals could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Zemgale LLU - Kyiv Capitals Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Ozols A. (G)
36. Molder C. (G)
84. Antons M.
69. Andreykiv V.
59. Bajaruns L. (A)
7. Begovs R.
47. Duklavs A.
10. Brants H.
17. Fjodorovs D.
92. Cipruss R.
9. Gricinskis G.
81. Honcharenko D.
7. Jirgens H.
2. Jansons E. H.
28. Kapura R.
13. Korenchuk I. (A)
77. Karasa A.
17. Kovalchuk M.
18. Klavins A.
71. Morozov F.
3. Kovalevskis K.
42. Rautiala V.
23. Millers G.
27. Romanyshyn A.
10. Novikovs A.
51. Saperins M.
6. Rajala A.
77. Sarkanis D. (A)
13. Rokis K. (C)
56. Siekkinen J.
5. Seilis P.
96. Sislannikovs O.
19. Streikiss M.
44. Sprukts G. (C)
70. Upenieks H.
19. Stradnieks K.
16. Vitols M.
21. Svars P.
11. Vorona R.
38. Tsarkovskyi D.
8. Zabusovs P.
12. Zukauskas L.
Substitutes
72. Kuderko J. (G)
40. Huunonen R. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
18:38, 1 - 0, Upenieks H. (G), Seilis P. (A),
2nd Period (2 - 1)
05:51, 1 - 1, Stradnieks K. (G), Sprukts G. (A), Begovs R. (A2)
08:19, 2 - 1, Streikiss M. (G),
14:02, 3 - 1, Gricinskis G. (G), Rokis K. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 2)
00:18, 3 - 2, Jansons E. H. (G), Sarkanis D. (A), Stradnieks K. (A2)
05:44, 3 - 3, Jansons E. H. (G),
19:12, 4 - 3, Antons M. (G), Bajaruns L. (A), Rokis K. (A2)
Preview
Zemgale has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Kyiv Capitals shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Zemgale could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Zemgale has faced a series of away games on the road.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Zemgale has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:13 (averaging 2:2.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Zemgale against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 4:3 goals.
Watch
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Ozols A. (G) 
Molder C. (G) 
Andreykiv V. 
Rautiala V. 
Zukauskas L. 
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