Match Info

Optibet Hokeja Liga

Date: 7 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Jelgavas ledus halle (Jelgava)


	Zemgale LLU		Kyiv Capitals

	1	X	2
	1.8	4.15	3.25
	1.82	4.25	3.32	Watch
	1.75	4.2	3.2
	1.81	4.2	3.26
	1.8	4	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.76)	4.16 ↓ (4.47)	3.25 ↓ (3.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zemgale LLU
50.4%

Draw
21.7%

Kyiv Capitals
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

20.6%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.6%

19.3%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zemgale LLU has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Kyiv Capitals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zemgale LLU than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zemgale LLU, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kyiv Capitals than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Zemgale LLU - Kyiv Capitals Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Ozols A. (G)	36. Voris J. (G)
98. Ansio T.	11. Andreykiv V.
97. Bernhards R. (A)	77. Augstkalns E. (A)
22. Berzins R.	59. Bajaruns L.
10. Brants H.	7. Begovs R.
88. Gorsanovs D.	92. Cipruss R.
9. Gricinskis G. (A)	87. Fursa D.
7. Jirgens H.	81. Honcharenko D.
77. Karasa A.	67. Hu S.
3. Kovajevskis K.	2. Jansons E. H.
20. Ladusans R.	15. Karsums M. (C)
29. Marenis R. (C)	71. Kostjuks A.
15. Mendzins K. G.	28. Krivonozhkin A.
12. Mots T.	19. Melnikov A.
28. Ozollapa R.	10. Novikovs A.
27. Parviainen J.	47. Saroka M.
6. Rajala A.	95. Shamardin I.
13. Rokis K.	78. Sirchenko V.
5. Seilis P.	33. Sirokovs M.
19. Streikiss M.	17. Tsarkovskyi D.
8. Zabusovs P.	20. Zelts K.
Substitutes
94. Plumins P. (G)	70. Duve M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
10:06, 0 - 1, Begovs R. (G),
2nd Period (1 - 1)
09:21, 1 - 1, Ansio T. (G),
13:37, 1 - 2, Hu S. (G), Jansons E. H. (A),
3rd Period (2 - 1)
04:18, 1 - 3, Begovs R. (G), Bajaruns L. (A),
10:28, 2 - 3, Seilis P. (G), Zabusovs P. (A),
13:20, 3 - 3, Brants H. (G), Gricinskis G. (A),
Overtime (1 - 0)
00:44, 4 - 3, Zabusovs P. (G),

Preview

Zemgale has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Kyiv Capitals's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Zemgale is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Zemgale won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 2:2.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
2	Kyiv Capitals	8	7	0	0	1	43:16	14
4	Zemgale	6	3	1	0	2	23:17	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HK Zemgale LLU
Latvian Hokeja Liga
23.12.25	Zemgale LLU - Panter Tallinn	5:3 ✺
20.12.25	Zemgale LLU - Riga Prizma	8:3 ✺
18.12.25	Punks Vilnius - Zemgale LLU	1:5 ✺
03.12.25	Zemgale LLU - HS Rīga	8:1 ✺
26.11.25	Liepāja - Zemgale LLU	2:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWWW
- Kyiv Capitals
Latvian Hokeja Liga
22.12.25	Liepāja - Kyiv Capitals	3:2 OT ✺
20.12.25	Mogo - Kyiv Capitals	3:1 ✺
17.12.25	Energija Elektrėnai - Kyiv Capitals	1:4 ✺
06.12.25	Kyiv Capitals - Liepāja	6:2 ✺
03.12.25	Kyiv Capitals - Panter Tallinn	10:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Latvian Hokeja Liga
19.11.25	Kyiv Capitals - Zemgale LLU	3:1
29.10.25	Kyiv Capitals - Zemgale LLU	2:3

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