Match Info

SM-sarja U20

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Ässät U20		Kiekko-Espoo U20

	1	X	2
	1.93	4.08	2.7
	1.85	4.16	3.26
	1.85	4	3
	2.01	3.94	2.89
	1.95	4.25	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.77)	4.09 ↑ (3.94)	2.91 ↓ (3.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ässät U20
47%

Draw
22.1%

Kiekko-Espoo U20
31%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.8%

22.8%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

23%

25.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ässät U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Kiekko-Espoo U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ässät U20 than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kiekko-Espoo U20 than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kiekko-Espoo U20, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ässät U20 - Kiekko Espoo U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
14:45, 0 - 1, Heinanen A. (G), Katavisto A. (A), Pakarinen N. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
19:10, 0 - 2, Katavisto A. (G), Vuori A. (A), Arkiomaa V. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
13:57, 1 - 2, Heinila E. (G), Eklund A. (A),
16:15, 2 - 2, Saarimaki M. (G), Juusela A. (A), Tikkanen T. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 1)
02:49, 2 - 3, Torkki O. (G), Arkiomaa V. (A), Saavola T. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ässät U20 won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Kiekko-Espoo U20 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Kiekko-Espoo U20 has had a series of home games.

Ässät U20 is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Ässät U20 won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 45:32. (average 3.2:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Ässät U20 won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 39:17. (average 4.3:1.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Ässät U20 - the odds 1.77 are the expected chance of winning is 50.81%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Kiekko-Espoo U20 - the odds 3.39 are the expected chance of winning is 26.43%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ässät U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
29.11.25	Vaasan Sport U20 - Ässät U20	2:3 ✺
27.11.25	Ässät U20 - TPS U20	0:2 ✺
23.11.25	Ässät U20 - HPK U20	1:3 ✺
22.11.25	Jokerit U20 - Ässät U20	1:3 ✺
21.11.25	Ilves U20 - Ässät U20	7:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLLWL
- Kiekko-Espoo U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
04.12.25	Kiekko-Espoo U20 - Pelicans U20	1:3 ✺
29.11.25	Kiekko-Espoo U20 - HPK U20	5:1 ✺
28.11.25	Kiekko-Espoo U20 - HIFK U20	3:6 ✺
22.11.25	Lukko U20 - Kiekko-Espoo U20	2:6 ✺
21.11.25	Kiekko-Espoo U20 - RoKi U20	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-sarja U20
01.11.25	Ässät U20 - Kiekko-Espoo U20	3:2
18.10.25	Kiekko-Espoo U20 - Ässät U20	3:2
14.12.24	Ässät U20 - Kiekko-Espoo U20	4:3 penalties
05.10.24	Kiekko-Espoo U20 - Ässät U20	5:1
24.02.24	Ässät U20 - Kiekko-Espoo U20	4:2
24.11.23	Kiekko-Espoo U20 - Ässät U20	1:0
17.12.22	Ässät U20 - Kiekko-Espoo U20	4:3 OT

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