Match Info

SM-sarja U20

Date: 19 December 2025, Friday


	Lukko U20		Kiekko-Espoo U20

	1	X	2
	2.9	4.5	1.72
	3.4	4.13	1.65
	3.61	4.51	1.7	Watch
	3.4	4.2	1.7
	3.79	4.2	1.68
	3.1	4.5	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.37 ↑ (3.03)	4.34 ↑ (3.79)	1.7 ↓ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Lukko U20
26.6%

Draw
20.6%

Kiekko-Espoo U20
52.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.3%

23.4%

47.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1%

22.4%

49.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lukko U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Kiekko-Espoo U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kiekko-Espoo U20's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lukko U20 than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kiekko-Espoo U20 than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Lukko U20 - Kiekko Espoo U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (2 - 1)
07:05, 1 - 0, Lehtosaari V. (G), Leppa M. (A), Floris J. (A2)
07:38, 2 - 0, Julkunen A. (G), Leppa M. (A), Lehtosaari V. (A2)
13:38, 2 - 1, Santala L. (G), Villanen S. (A), Saavola T. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lukko U20 won 3.

Recent form of Lukko U20 has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Kiekko-Espoo U20 is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, Kiekko-Espoo U20 has had a series of home games.

Kiekko-Espoo U20 might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Kiekko-Espoo U20 will win today's game, with odds of 1.84.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Lukko U20 won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 59:48. (average 3.1:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Lukko U20 won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 38:21. (average 3.8:2.1).

Last Results with these Odds

Lukko U20 - the odds 3.03 are the expected chance of winning is 29.3%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lukko U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
13.12.25	TPS U20 - Lukko U20	4:5 OT ✺
12.12.25	Lukko U20 - JYP U20	1:3 ✺
06.12.25	RoKi U20 - Lukko U20	2:1 ✺
29.11.25	TPS U20 - Lukko U20	5:1 ✺
22.11.25	Lukko U20 - Kiekko-Espoo U20	2:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLLLL
- Kiekko-Espoo U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
13.12.25	Kiekko-Espoo U20 - Tappara U20	5:2 ✺
12.12.25	Kiekko-Espoo U20 - KalPa U20	6:1 ✺
07.12.25	Ässät U20 - Kiekko-Espoo U20	2:3 OT ✺
04.12.25	Kiekko-Espoo U20 - Pelicans U20	1:3 ✺
29.11.25	Kiekko-Espoo U20 - HPK U20	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-sarja U20
22.11.25	Lukko U20 - Kiekko-Espoo U20	2:6
27.09.25	Kiekko-Espoo U20 - Lukko U20	5:0
08.04.25	Lukko U20 - Kiekko-Espoo U20	4:2
06.04.25	Kiekko-Espoo U20 - Lukko U20	2:3
05.04.25	Lukko U20 - Kiekko-Espoo U20	5:2
28.09.24	Lukko U20 - Kiekko-Espoo U20	2:1
22.09.24	Kiekko-Espoo U20 - Lukko U20	0:1

Upcoming Matches