Match Info

FEATHERWEIGHT - MEN: UFC

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Qudos Bank Arena (Sydney)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	Sport TV1
Slovakia	Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay
Ukraine	Setanta Sports


	Alex Volkanovski		Diego Lopes

	1	2
	1.67	2.25
	1.59	2.3
	1.72	2.15
	1.64	2.37
	1.67	2.27
	1.63	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.63)	2.26 ↑ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Volkanovski
57.8%

Diego Lopes
42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Alex Volkanovski have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Diego Lopes have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Alex Volkanovski - Diego Lopes Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 4.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Alex Volkanovski will win (16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.37% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Alex Volkanovski will win (14 of 14 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

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Preview

Volkanovski Alex defending title.

Volkanovski might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Volkanovski won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Volkanovski
MMA
13.04.25	Alex Volkanovski - Diego Lopes	Volkanovski A. win ✺
18.02.24	Alex Volkanovski - Ilia Topuria	Topuria I. - 2nd Round KO ✺
21.10.23	Islam Makhachev - Alex Volkanovski	Makhachev I. - 1st Round TKO ✺
09.07.23	Alex Volkanovski - Yair Rodriguez	Volkanovski A. - 3rd Round TKO ✺
12.02.23	Islam Makhachev - Alex Volkanovski	Makhachev I. win ✺
- Diego Lopes
MMA
13.09.25	Diego Lopes - Jean Silva	Lopes D. - 2nd Round TKO ✺
13.04.25	Alex Volkanovski - Diego Lopes	Volkanovski A. win ✺
14.09.24	Brian Ortega - Diego Lopes	Lopes D. win ✺
29.06.24	Brian Ortega - Diego Lopes	Canceled ✺
13.04.24	Sodiq Yusuff - Diego Lopes	Lopes D. - 1st Round TKO ✺

Latest Head to Head

MMA
13.04.25	Alex Volkanovski - Diego Lopes	Volkanovski A. win

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Volkanovski
MMA
24.10.26	Alex Volkanovski - Movsar Evloev	✺

Alex Volkanovski - Diego Lopes: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide