Match Info

LIGHTWEIGHT - MEN: UFC (WORLD)

Date: 21 October 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ESPN
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 1
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Hungary	Sport 1
Norway	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV2
Slovakia	Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay


	Islam Makhachev		Alex Volkanovski

	1	2
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.4	3
	1.41	3
	1.38	3.25
	1.36	3.1
	1.39	3.55
	1.4	2.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.44)	3.12 ↑ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 0.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Islam Makhachev
69.2%

Alex Volkanovski
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.6%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Islam Makhachev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Alex Volkanovski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Islam Makhachev - Alex Volkanovski Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Makhachev will win (votes: 8 - 50%). Volkanovski will win (votes: 8 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Makhachev: 25.5% – 74.5%.

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Preview

Makhachev Islam defending title.

In this match Makhachev is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Makhachev won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Islam Makhachev
MMA
21.10.23	Islam Makhachev - Charles Oliveira	Canceled ✺
12.02.23	Islam Makhachev - Alex Volkanovski	Makhachev I. win ✺
22.10.22	Charles Oliveira - Islam Makhachev	Makhachev I. - 2nd Round TKO ✺
26.02.22	Islam Makhachev - Bobby Green	Makhachev I. - 1st Round TKO ✺
26.02.22	Beneil Dariush - Islam Makhachev	Canceled ✺
- Alex Volkanovski
MMA
09.07.23	Alex Volkanovski - Yair Rodriguez	Volkanovski A. - 3rd Round TKO ✺
12.02.23	Islam Makhachev - Alex Volkanovski	Makhachev I. win ✺
02.07.22	Alex Volkanovski - Max Holloway	Volkanovski A. win ✺
10.04.22	Alex Volkanovski - Chan Sung Jung	Volkanovski A. - 4th Round TKO ✺
26.09.21	Alex Volkanovski - Brian Ortega	Volkanovski A. win ✺

Latest Head to Head

MMA
12.02.23	Islam Makhachev - Alex Volkanovski	Makhachev I. win

Islam Makhachev - Alex Volkanovski: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide