Match Info

LIGHTWEIGHT - MEN: UFC (WORLD)

Date: 9 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Kaseya Center (Miami, FL)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	VOOsport
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Hungary	Sport 1
Norway	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV
Slovakia	Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay
Ukraine	Setanta Sports


	Dustin Poirier		Benoit Saint-Denis

	1	2
	2.8	1.45
	2.85	1.44
	2.6	1.52
	2.94	1.44
	2.75	1.44
	2.38	1.62
	2.43	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.37)	1.49 ↓ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dustin Poirier
35.8%

Benoit Saint-Denis
64.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

60.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dustin Poirier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Benoit Saint-Denis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Dustin Poirier - Benoit Saint Denis Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Poirier will win (votes: 21 - 75%). Saint-Denis will win (votes: 7 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Poirier: 59% – 91%.

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Preview

Saint-Denis will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the fighters did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dustin Poirier
MMA
30.07.23	Dustin Poirier - Justin Gaethje	Gaethje J. - 2nd Round KO ✺
12.11.22	Dustin Poirier - Michael Chandler	Poirier D. - 3rd Round TKO ✺
12.12.21	Charles Oliveira - Dustin Poirier	Oliveira C. - 3rd Round TKO ✺
11.07.21	Dustin Poirier - Conor McGregor	Poirier D. - 1st Round TKO ✺
24.01.21	Dustin Poirier - Conor McGregor	Poirier D. win Poirier D. - Round 2 / 2:00 Technical Knockout (Punches) ✺
- Benoit Saint-Denis
MMA
11.11.23	Matt Frevola - Benoit Saint-Denis	Saint-Denis B. - 1st Round KO ✺
02.09.23	Benoit Saint-Denis - Thiago Moises	Saint-Denis B. - 3rd Round TKO ✺
01.07.23	Ismael Bonfim - Benoit Saint-Denis	Saint-Denis B. - 1st Round TKO ✺
03.09.22	Benoit Saint-Denis - Gabriel Miranda	Saint-Denis B. - 2nd Round TKO ✺
04.06.22	Benoit Saint-Denis - Niklas Stolze	Saint-Denis B. - 2nd Round TKO ✺

Dustin Poirier - Benoit Saint-Denis: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide