Match Info

LIGHTWEIGHT - MEN: UFC BMF TITLE (WORLD)

Date: 30 July 2023, Sunday

Location: Delta Center (Salt Lake City)


	Dustin Poirier		Justin Gaethje

	1	2
	1.67	2.25	Watch
	1.65	2.25
	1.65	2.25
	1.7	2.26
	1.67	2.2
	1.64	2.23
	1.66	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.71)	2.24 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Dustin Poirier
57.4%

Justin Gaethje
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dustin Poirier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Justin Gaethje has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	0%	8.3%

Dustin Poirier - Justin Gaethje Predictions

Users Predictions: Dustin Poirier will win (22 of 24 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.61% – 100%.

#ad

Preview

Title fight.

Poirier will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Poirier won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dustin Poirier
MMA
12.11.22	Dustin Poirier - Michael Chandler	Poirier D. - 3rd Round TKO ✺
12.12.21	Charles Oliveira - Dustin Poirier	Oliveira C. - 3rd Round TKO ✺
11.07.21	Dustin Poirier - Conor McGregor	Poirier D. - 1st Round TKO ✺
24.01.21	Dustin Poirier - Conor McGregor	Poirier D. win Poirier D. - Round 2 / 2:00 Technical Knockout (Punches) ✺
27.06.20	Dustin Poirier - Daniel Hooker	Poirier D. win Poirier D. - Round 5 / 5:00 Points ✺
- Justin Gaethje
MMA
18.03.23	Justin Gaethje - Rafael Fiziev	Gaethje J. win ✺
08.05.22	Charles Oliveira - Justin Gaethje	Oliveira C. - 1st Round TKO ✺
06.11.21	Justin Gaethje - Michael Chandler	Gaethje J. win ✺
24.10.20	Khabib Nurmagomedov - Justin Gaethje	Nurmagomedov K. win Nurmagomedov K. - Round 2 / 1:34 Submission (Triangle choke) ✺
10.05.20	Tony Ferguson - Justin Gaethje	Gaethje J. win Gaethje J. - Round 5 / 3:39 Technical Knockout (Punches) ✺

Latest Head to Head

MMA
14.04.18	Dustin Poirier - Justin Gaethje	Poirier D. win Poirier D. - Round 4 Technical Knockout (Punches)

Dustin Poirier - Justin Gaethje: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide