Match Info

LIGHTWEIGHT - MEN: UFC

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday

Location: T-Mobile Arena (Las Vegas, NV)

Where to Watch on TV:


	Grant Dawson		Manuel Torres

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Grant Dawson
69.3%

Manuel Torres
30.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

65.2%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grant Dawson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Manuel Torres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Dawson (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

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In this match, Dawson is seen as the favorite.

In recent times, the fighters did not meet on the field.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grant Dawson
MMA
18.01.25	Grant Dawson - Carlos Diego Ferreira	Dawson G. win ✺
12.10.24	Grant Dawson - Rafa García	Dawson G. - 2nd Round TKO ✺
01.06.24	Grant Dawson - Joe Solecki	Dawson G. win ✺
07.10.23	Grant Dawson - Bobby Green	Green B. - 1st Round KO ✺
01.07.23	Damir Ismagulov - Grant Dawson	Dawson G. win ✺
- Manuel Torres
MMA
29.03.25	Manuel Torres - Drew Dober	Torres M. - 1st Round TKO ✺
14.09.24	Manuel Torres - Ignacio Bahamondes	Bahamondes I. - 1st Round TKO ✺
24.02.24	Manuel Torres - Chris Duncan	Torres M. - 1st Round TKO ✺
17.06.23	Manuel Torres - Nikolas Motta	Torres M. - 1st Round KO ✺
25.03.23	Manuel Torres - Trey Ogden	Canceled ✺

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

Grant Dawson - Manuel Torres: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide