Match Info

LIGHTWEIGHT - MEN: UFC (World)

Date: 18 January 2025, Saturday


	Islam Makhachev		Arman Tsarukyan

	1	2
	1.29	3.75
	1.28	3.75
	1.26	4
	1.25	4.05
	1.29	3.6
	1.23	4.1
	1.26	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↑ (1.24)	3.89 ↓ (4.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Network on TV: FX

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Current Win Probability

Islam Makhachev
75.5%

Arman Tsarukyan
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

77%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Islam Makhachev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Arman Tsarukyan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70.6%	0%	29.4%

Islam Makhachev - Arman Tsarukyan Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Makhachev will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Tsarukyan will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Makhachev: 48.9% – 92.3%.

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Preview

Makhachev Islam defending title. Tsarukyan Arman injured, fight canceled.

In this match Makhachev is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Makhachev won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Islam Makhachev
MMA
02.06.24	Islam Makhachev - Dustin Poirier	Makhachev I. - 5th Round TKO ✺
21.10.23	Islam Makhachev - Alex Volkanovski	Makhachev I. - 1st Round TKO ✺
21.10.23	Islam Makhachev - Charles Oliveira	Canceled ✺
12.02.23	Islam Makhachev - Alex Volkanovski	Makhachev I. win ✺
22.10.22	Charles Oliveira - Islam Makhachev	Makhachev I. - 2nd Round TKO ✺
- Arman Tsarukyan
MMA
13.04.24	Charles Oliveira - Arman Tsarukyan	Tsarukyan A. win ✺
02.12.23	Beneil Dariush - Arman Tsarukyan	Tsarukyan A. - 1st Round KO ✺
18.06.23	Arman Tsarukyan - Joaquim Silva	Tsarukyan A. - 3rd Round TKO ✺
17.12.22	Arman Tsarukyan - Damir Ismagulov	Tsarukyan A. win ✺
26.06.22	Arman Tsarukyan - Mateusz Gamrot	Gamrot M. win ✺

Latest Head to Head

MMA
20.04.19	Islam Makhachev - Arman Tsarukyan	Makhachev I. win Makhachev I. - Round 3 / 5:00 Points

Islam Makhachev - Arman Tsarukyan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide