Match Info

Date: 2 February 2019, Saturday


	Jose Aldo		Roan Carneiro

	1	2
	2.1	1.72
	2.02	1.7
	2.1	1.81
	2.1	1.73
	2.03	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.15)	1.75 ↑ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jose Aldo
45.8%

Roan Carneiro
54.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

55.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jose Aldo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Roan Carneiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	0%	27.3%

Jose Aldo - Roan Carneiro Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Aldo will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Carneiro will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aldo: 46.4% – 99%.

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jose Aldo
MMA
28.07.18	Jose Aldo - Jeremy Stephens	Aldo J. win Aldo J. - Round 1 / 4:19 Technical Knockout (Punches) ✺
02.12.17	Max Holloway - Jose Aldo	Holloway M. win Holloway M. - Round 3 / 4:51 Technical Knockout (Punches) ✺
03.06.17	Jose Aldo - Max Holloway	Holloway M. win Holloway M. - Round 3 / 4:13 Technical Knockout (Punches) ✺
09.07.16	Jose Aldo - Frankie Edgar	Aldo J. win Aldo J. - Round 5 / 5:00 Points ✺
12.12.15	Jose Aldo - Conor McGregor	McGregor C. - 1st Round KO ✺
- Roan Carneiro
MMA
04.08.18	Cub Swanson - Roan Carneiro	Carneiro R. win Carneiro R. - Round 1 / 4:15 Submission ✺
07.04.18	Roan Carneiro - Calvin Kattar	Carneiro R. win Carneiro R. - Round 3 Points ✺
29.07.17	Roan Carneiro - Brian Ortega	Ortega B. win Ortega B. - Round 3 / 2:59 Submission ✺
15.04.17	Jeremy Stephens - Roan Carneiro	Carneiro R. win Carneiro R. - Round 3 / 5:00 Points ✺
11.02.17	Ryan LaFlare - Roan Carneiro	LaFlare R. win LaFlare R. - Round 3 / 5:00 Points ✺

Jose Aldo - Roan Carneiro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide