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Kyle Nelson - Cristian Perez: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

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Match Info

  • LIGHTWEIGHT - MEN: UFC
  • Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday
  • Location: Rogers Place (Edmonton, AB)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
    • BulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 2
    Czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 6, Oneplay
    DenmarkDenmarkViaplay
    FinlandFinlandViaplay
    NorwayNorwayViaplay
    PolandPolandPolsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
    SlovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 6, Voyo
    SwedenSwedenViaplay
    UkraineUkraineSetanta Sports
    United-kingdomUnited-kingdomHBO Max, TNT Sports 1
    Kyle Nelson Cristian Perez
    Kyle Nelson Cristian Perez
    1 X 2
    #Advertisement. GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ 3.80 1.28
    Bwin 3.95 1.26
    betsson 3.85 1.28
    Bet_in_Asia 3.82 1.30
    Williamhill 3.75 1.29
    BetNow 3.51 1.29
    Bovada 3.90 1.28
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.8 ↑
    (3.36)
    		1.28 ↓
    (1.31)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

    • The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

    #Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

    Current Win Probability

    Kyle Nelson
    25.3%    		Cristian Perez
    74.7%

    Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
    28.1% 71.9%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
  • Kyle Nelson has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • Cristian Perez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    100% 0% 0%

    Kyle Nelson - Cristian Perez Predictions

  • Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Nelson will win (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nelson (votes: 1 - 100%).
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    Preview

  • In this matchup, Perez is considered the favorite to take the win.
  • No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

    • Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Kyle Nelson
    MMA
    28.03.26 Terrance McKinney - Kyle Nelson McKinney T. - 1st Round TKO ✺
    18.10.25 Kyle Nelson - Matt Frevola Nelson K. win ✺
    07.09.24 Steve Garcia - Kyle Nelson Garcia S. - 1st Round TKO ✺
    30.03.24 Bill Algeo - Kyle Nelson Nelson K. - 1st Round TKO ✺
    16.09.23 Fernando Padilla - Kyle Nelson Nelson K. win ✺

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