Match Info

LIGHT HEAVYWEIGHT - MEN: UFC

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday

Location: T-Mobile Arena (Las Vegas, NV)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay


	Nikita Krylov		Modestas Bukauskas

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Nikita Krylov
43.9%

Modestas Bukauskas
56.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.2%

56.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nikita Krylov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Modestas Bukauskas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Krylov will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Bukauskas will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Krylov (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

#ad

The probability of winning is almost the same for both fighters in this match.

Recently, the fighters have not faced each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nikita Krylov
MMA
26.07.25	Nikita Krylov - Bogdan Guskov	Guskov B. - 1st Round TKO ✺
12.04.25	Nikita Krylov - Dominick Reyes	Reyes D. - 1st Round KO ✺
16.11.24	Nikita Krylov - Azamat Murzakanov	Canceled ✺
11.03.23	Nikita Krylov - Ryan Spann	Krylov N. - 1st Round TKO ✺
25.02.23	Nikita Krylov - Ryan Spann	Canceled ✺
- Modestas Bukauskas
MMA
06.09.25	Modestas Bukauskas - Paul Craig	Bukauskas M. - 1st Round KO ✺
10.05.25	Modestas Bukauskas - Ion Cutelaba	Bukauskas M. win ✺
22.02.25	Modestas Bukauskas - Raffael Cerqueira	Bukauskas M. - 1st Round KO ✺
27.07.24	Modestas Bukauskas - Marcin Prachnio	Bukauskas M. - 3rd Round TKO ✺
04.11.23	Vitor Petrino - Modestas Bukauskas	Petrino V. - 2nd Round KO ✺

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nikita Krylov
MMA
24.10.26	Nikita Krylov - Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev	✺

Nikita Krylov - Modestas Bukauskas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide