Match Info

MIDDLEWEIGHT - MEN: UFC

Date: 26 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Etihad Arena (Abu Dhabi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Australia	ESPN
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	RMC Sport 1
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 8
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Polsat Sport 2
Slovakia	Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	TNT Sports 2
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Robert Whittaker		Reinier de Ridder

	1	2
	1.59	2.4
	1.7	2.2
	1.75	2.1
	1.63	2.38
			Watch
	1.67	2.2
	1.64	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.62)	2.26 ↓ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Robert Whittaker
57.6%

Reinier de Ridder
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

41.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Robert Whittaker has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Reinier de Ridder has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	0%	90.9%

Robert Whittaker - Reinier de Ridder Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Whittaker will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). de Ridder will win (votes: 10 - 90.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for de Ridder: 73.9% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Reinier de Ridder will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

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Preview

Whittaker is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In recent times, the fighters did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Robert Whittaker
MMA
26.10.24	Robert Whittaker - Khamzat Chimaev	Chimaev K. - 2nd Round TKO ✺
22.06.24	Robert Whittaker - Ikram Aliskerov	Whittaker R. - 1st Round KO ✺
22.06.24	Robert Whittaker - Khamzat Chimaev	Canceled ✺
17.02.24	Robert Whittaker - Paulo Henrique Costa	Whittaker R. win ✺
08.07.23	Robert Whittaker - Dricus Du Plessis	Du Plessis D. - 2nd Round TKO ✺
- Reinier de Ridder
MMA
04.05.25	Reinier de Ridder - Bo Nickal	De Ridder R. - 2nd Round TKO ✺
18.01.25	Kevin Holland - Reinier de Ridder	De Ridder R. - 1st Round TKO ✺
09.11.24	Gerald Meerschaert - Reinier de Ridder	De Ridder R. - 3rd Round TKO ✺
01.03.24	Reinier de Ridder - Anatoly Malykhin	Malykhin A. - 3rd Round TKO ✺
03.12.22	Reinier de Ridder - Anatoly Malykhin	Malykhin A. - 1st Round KO ✺

Robert Whittaker - Reinier de Ridder: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide