Match Info

NRL - Round 8

Date: 24 April 2026, Friday

Location: Suncorp Stadium (Brisbane)

Referee: Raymond W. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Fox League, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports, NRL
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
New-zealand	SKY Go NZ


	Brisbane Broncos		Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs

	1	X	2
	2.3	26	1.65
	2.45	15	1.7
	2.47	20.24	1.61	Watch
	2.38	19	1.57
	2.3	26	1.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (1.74)	21.25 ↓ (24.49)	1.64 ↓ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 47.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brisbane Broncos
39%

Draw
4.4%

Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs
56.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.4%

3.8%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

4.2%

47.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brisbane Broncos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Brisbane Broncos's form might have worsened.

Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brisbane Broncos than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brisbane Broncos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Brisbane Broncos - Canterbury Bankstown Bulldogs Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 25:25

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
2. Karapani J.	1. Tracey C.
3. Staggs K.	2. Sua J.
4. Shibasaki G.	3. Xerri B.
5. Mariner D.	4. Crichton S. (C)
6. Mam E.	5. Montoya M.
7. Reynolds A. (C)	6. Burton M.
8. Talty B.	7. Galvin L.
9. Paix C.	8. Hughes S.
10. Gosiewski J.	9. Hayward B.
11. Piakura B.	10. Thompson L.
12. Riki J.	11. Kikau V.
13. Willison X.	12. Preston J.
18. Perham H.	13. Salmon J.
Substitutes
14. Rogers J.	14. Mann K.
15. Hunt J.	15. Tupouniua S.
16. Riki P.	16. Hayes H.
17. Semu V.	17. Turpin J.
19. Verhoeven A.	19. Curran J.
20. Duffy T.	20. Hopoi L.
Coaches
. Maguire M.	. Ciraldo C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (20 - 0)
17', Shibasaki G. (Try),
19', Reynolds A. (Conversion Goal),
22', Karapani J. (Try),
23', Reynolds A. (Missed Conversion),
29', Reynolds A. (Penalty Goal),
32', Mariner D. (Try),
34', Reynolds A. (Missed Conversion),
38', Paix C. (Try),
39', Reynolds A. (Missed Conversion),
40', Reynolds A. (Missed Penalty),
2nd Half (12 - 12)
46', Mam E. (Try),
48', Reynolds A. (Conversion Goal),
56', Burton M. (Try),
57', Crichton S. (Conversion Goal),
69', Galvin L. (Try),
70', Crichton S. (Conversion Goal),
79', Willison X. (Try),
80', Reynolds A. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: ) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 4.

Brisbane is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Canterbury-Bankstown has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Brisbane may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Canterbury-Bankstown might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 468:352. (average 23.4:17.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Brisbane won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 300:161. (average 27.3:14.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brisbane Broncos
Australian NRL
18.04.26	Wests Tigers - Brisbane Broncos	20:21 ✺
10.04.26	Brisbane Broncos - North Queensland Cowboys	31:35 ✺
04.04.26	Gold Coast Titans - Brisbane Broncos	12:26 ✺
27.03.26	Brisbane Broncos - Dolphins	26:12 ✺
20.03.26	Melbourne Storm - Brisbane Broncos	14:18 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WLWWW
- Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs
Australian NRL
19.04.26	Parramatta Eels - Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs	38:20 ✺
09.04.26	Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs - Penrith Panthers	32:16 ✺
03.04.26	South Sydney Rabbitohs - Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs	32:24 ✺
28.03.26	Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs - Newcastle Knights	16:24 ✺
19.03.26	Canberra Raiders - Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs	10:14 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NRL
04.07.25	Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs - Brisbane Broncos	18:22
24.04.25	Brisbane Broncos - Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs	42:18
22.02.25	Brisbane Broncos - Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs	30:14
27.07.24	Brisbane Broncos - Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs	16:41
15.07.23	Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs - Brisbane Broncos	24:44
22.04.22	Brisbane Broncos - Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs	34:14
20.03.22	Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs - Brisbane Broncos	10:16

Brisbane Broncos - Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide