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Current Win Probability
Brisbane Broncos 50.2%
Draw 4.4%
North Queensland Cowboys 45.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
68.8%
3.8%
27.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
65.9%
3.6%
28.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brisbane Broncos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Brisbane Broncos's form might have worsened.
North Queensland Cowboys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting North Queensland Cowboys's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brisbane Broncos than the current prediction. (+15.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brisbane Broncos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Queensland Cowboys than the current prediction. (-16.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for North Queensland Cowboys, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
Brisbane Broncos - North Queensland Cowboys Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. North Queensland will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. North Queensland (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 27:23
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Arthars J.
1. Drinkwater S.
2. Karapani J.
3. Purdue J.
3. Staggs K.
4. Chester T.
4. Shibasaki G.
5. Taulagi M.
5. Mariner D.
6. Clifford J.
6. Mam E.
7. Dearden T. (C)
8. Jensen C.
8. Hess C.
9. Paix C.
9. Mahoney R.
10. Haas P.
10. Taumalolo J.
11. Piakura B.
11. Luki H.
12. Riki J.
12. O'Donnell K.
13. Carrigan P. (C)
13. Cotter R.
18. Duffy T.
18. Laybutt Z.
Substitutes
14. Mozer B.
14. Luke S.
15. Willison X.
15. Neame G.
16. Talty B.
16. Mikaele T.
17. Tawha A.
17. Lodge M.
19. Perham H.
20. Edwards H.
22. Rogers J.
22. Derby R.
Coaches
. Maguire M.
. Payten T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (18 - 24)
5', Staggs K. (Try),
6', Duffy T. (Conversion Goal),
14', Purdue J. (Try),
15', Clifford J. (Conversion Goal),
16', Laybutt Z. (Try),
18', Clifford J. (Conversion Goal),
27', Luke S. (Try),
29', Clifford J. (Conversion Goal),
32', Karapani J. (Try),
33', Duffy T. (Conversion Goal),
35', Drinkwater S. (Try),
36', Clifford J. (Conversion Goal),
40', Arthars J. (Try),
40', Duffy T. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (13 - 11)
49', Mam E. (Try),
50', Duffy T. (Conversion Goal),
59', Talty B. (Try),
60', Duffy T. (Conversion Goal),
65', Chester T. (Try),
66', Clifford J. (Conversion Goal),
76', Duffy T. (Drop Goal),
77', Drinkwater S. (Drop Goal),
79', Luki H. (Try),
80', Clifford J. (Missed Conversion),
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 5.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 523:433. (average 26.2:21.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Brisbane won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 230:180. (average 25.6:20).
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Arthars J. 
Drinkwater S. 
Staggs K. 
Mariner D. 
Piakura B. 
Derby R. 
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