Match Info
NRL - Round 3Date: 20 March 2026, FridayLocation: AAMI Park (Melbourne)Referee: Smith T. (Aus)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Australia | Fox League, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports, NRL |
France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
New-zealand | SKY Go NZ |
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Melbourne Storm |
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Brisbane Broncos |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 52.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-9)
- The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Melbourne Storm 67.7% | Draw 3.8% | Brisbane Broncos 28.5% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Melbourne Storm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)Brisbane Broncos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)Melbourne Storm - Brisbane Broncos Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -7.5 - Melbourne (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Melbourne (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:22 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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1. Faalogo S.
| 1. Walsh R.
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2. Warbrick W.
| 2. Karapani J.
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3. Howarth J.
| 3. Staggs K.
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4. Moses L.
| 4. Mariner D.
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5. Meaney N.
| 5. Anderson G.
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6. Munster C.
| 6. Mam E.
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7. Hughes J.
| 8. Jensen C.
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8. Utoikamanu S.
| 9. Paix C.
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9. Grant H. (C)
| 10. Haas P.
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10. King J.
| 11. Willison X.
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11. Chan J.
| 12. Riki J.
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13. Kamikamica T.
| 13. Carrigan P. (C)
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18. MacDonald A.
| 14. Hunt B.
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| Substitutes |
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14. Wishart T.
| 15. Talty B.
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15. Loiero T.
| 16. Tawha A.
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16. Moale D.
| 17. Shibasaki G.
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17. Clarke C.
| 18. Piakura B.
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19. Tuimalatu-Brown S.
| 19. Hunt J.
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20. Hetherington J.
| 20. Mozer B.
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| Coaches |
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. Bellamy C.
| . Maguire M.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (14 - 0)
- 22', Faalogo S. (Try),
- 24', Grant H. (Conversion Goal),
- 38', Grant H. (Penalty Goal),
- 40+1', Chan J. (Try),
- 40+1', Grant H. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (0 - 18)
- 42', Riki J. (Try),
- 44', Walsh R. (Conversion Goal),
- 52', Riki J. (Try),
- 53', Walsh R. (Conversion Goal),
- 59', Staggs K. (Try),
- 60', Walsh R. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne won 3.Brisbane may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Melbourne is the team to beat.We predict that Melbourne will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melbourne won 16 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 624:300. (average 31.2:15).Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 258:130. (average 28.7:14.4).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Australian NRL | | | 05.10.25 | Melbourne Storm - Brisbane Broncos | 22:26 | | 04.09.25 | Brisbane Broncos - Melbourne Storm | 30:14 | | 07.08.25 | Melbourne Storm - Brisbane Broncos | 22:2 | | 05.09.24 | Brisbane Broncos - Melbourne Storm | 12:50 | | 04.04.24 | Melbourne Storm - Brisbane Broncos | 34:32 | | 08.09.23 | Brisbane Broncos - Melbourne Storm | 26:0 | | 31.08.23 | Brisbane Broncos - Melbourne Storm | 22:32 |
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