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Current Win Probability
North Queensland Cowboys 40.5%
Draw 4.7%
Newcastle Knights 54.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
44.8%
3.7%
51.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52%
3.2%
44.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
North Queensland Cowboys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
Newcastle Knights has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Queensland Cowboys than the current prediction. (+11.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for North Queensland Cowboys, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle Knights than the current prediction. (-10.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Newcastle Knights, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
North Queensland Cowboys - Newcastle Knights Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 23:26
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (6 - 16)
2nd Half (0 - 24)
Preview
North Queensland has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Newcastle is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
We predict that North Queensland will win today's game, with odds of 2.25.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, North Queensland won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 43:84. (average 14.3:28).
Including home matches between the teams, North Queensland won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:64. (average 6:32).
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