Match Info

Pacific Championships - League B

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: PNG Football Stadium (Port Moresby)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	9 HD, Nine


	Papua New Guinea		Cook Islands

	1	X	2
	1.14	41	6
	1.1	31	7
	1.08	29	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.11 ↑ (1.03)	33.67 ↓ (49)	6.67 ↓ (9.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 52.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-20)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Papua New Guinea
83.4%

Draw
2.7%

Cook Islands
13.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

88.6%

1.9%

9.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Papua New Guinea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Papua New Guinea's form might have worsened.

Cook Islands has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Papua New Guinea - Cook Islands Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Papua New Guinea will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Papua New Guinea (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 36:16

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (22 - 12)
4', Ngatikaura R. (Try),
6', Ioka E. (Conversion Goal),
12', Derby R. (Try),
13', Martin R. (Conversion Goal),
20', Rennie R. (Try),
21', Ioka E. (Conversion Goal),
27', Martin R. (Try),
28', Martin R. (Conversion Goal),
31', Derby R. (Try),
35', Johnston A. (Try),
36', Martin R. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (18 - 16)
52', Putoko C. (Try),
55', Laybutt K. (Try),
56', Martin R. (Conversion Goal),
60', Ioka E. (Try),
63', Ioka E. (Conversion Goal),
67', Morea M. (Try),
68', Martin R. (Conversion Goal),
74', (Try),
74', (Conversion Goal),
80+1', (Try),
80+2', Laybutt Z. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

Cook Islands may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Papua New Guinea is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Papua New Guinea won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 152:68. (average 38:17).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Papua New Guinea rugby league
Pacific Championships Rugby League
10.11.24	New Zealand - Papua New Guinea	54:12 ✺
03.11.24	Papua New Guinea - Cook Islands	42:20 ✺
19.10.24	Fiji - Papua New Guinea	10:22 ✺
05.11.23	Fiji - Papua New Guinea	12:32 ✺
29.10.23	Papua New Guinea - Fiji	16:43 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWWWL
- Cook Islands rugby league
Pacific Championships Rugby League
18.10.25	Fiji - Cook Islands	44:24 ✺
03.11.24	Papua New Guinea - Cook Islands	42:20 ✺
26.10.24	Fiji - Cook Islands	56:6 ✺
22.10.23	Fiji - Cook Islands	10:12 ✺
15.10.23	Papua New Guinea - Cook Islands	46:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Pacific Championships Rugby League
03.11.24	Papua New Guinea - Cook Islands	42:20
15.10.23	Papua New Guinea - Cook Islands	46:10
Rugby League World Cup
25.10.22	Papua New Guinea - Cook Islands	32:16
Friendly International Rugby League
06.05.17	Papua New Guinea - Cook Islands	32:22

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