Match Info

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday


	Papua New Guinea		Samoa

	1	X	2
	13	34	1.05	Watch
	13	41	1.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	13 ↑ (11.25)	37.5 ↓ (45.5)	1.05 (1.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 58.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-28)

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Papua New Guinea
7.3%

Draw
2.5%

Samoa
90.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

8.4%

2.1%

89.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Papua New Guinea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Samoa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Papua New Guinea - Samoa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 15:43

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Preview

Samoa could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The betting markets point to Samoa as the clear and undisputed favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Papua New Guinea has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:62 (averaging 5:31 goals per game).

Outrights of Rugby League World Cup for now

Samoa: 8.74% Papua New Guinea: 0.73%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Papua New Guinea rugby league
Rugby League World Cup
17.10.26	Papua New Guinea - Lebanon	42:18 ✺
Pacific Championships Rugby League
01.11.25	Papua New Guinea - Fiji	50:18 ✺
25.10.25	Papua New Guinea - Cook Islands	40:28 ✺
10.11.24	New Zealand - Papua New Guinea	54:12 ✺
03.11.24	Papua New Guinea - Cook Islands	42:20 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWLW
- Samoa rugby league
Rugby League World Cup
16.10.26	Samoa - France	78:4 ✺
Pacific Championships Rugby League
09.11.25	New Zealand - Samoa	36:14 ✺
26.10.25	Samoa - Tonga	34:6 ✺
19.10.25	New Zealand - Samoa	24:18 ✺
Friendly International Rugby League
02.11.24	England - Samoa	34:16 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Friendly International Rugby League
22.06.19	Samoa - Papua New Guinea	24:6
Rugby League World Cup
04.11.13	Papua New Guinea - Samoa	4:38

Papua New Guinea - Samoa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide