The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Parramatta Eels 48.2%
Draw 4.6%
Wests Tigers 47.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
54.4%
4.6%
41%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56%
4.7%
39.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Parramatta Eels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Parramatta Eels's form might have worsened.
Wests Tigers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Wests Tigers's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Parramatta Eels than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Parramatta Eels, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wests Tigers than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Wests Tigers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Parramatta Eels - Wests Tigers Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 25:25
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Papalii J.
1. Bula J.
2. Simonsson B.
2. Tavana F.
3. Kelly B.
3. Turuva S.
4. Russell S.
4. Makasini H.
5. Addo-Carr J.
5. Laulili'i L.
6. Pezet J.
6. Madden J.
7. Moses M. (C)
7. Doueihi A.
8. Williams J.
8. May T.
9. Smith R.
9. Koroisau A. (C)
10. Paulo J.
10. Pole F.
11. Tuilagi K.
11. Fainu S.
12. Kautoga K.
12. Pearce-Paul K.
13. Walker D.
13. Twal A.
Substitutes
14. Da Silva T.
14. Fainu L.
15. Tuivaiti S.
15. Fainu S.
16. Guymer C.
16. Hunt R.
17. Moretti L.
17. Seyfarth A.
18. De Belin J.
19. Skelton J.
19. Twidle A.
20. Hope T.
Coaches
. Ryles J.
. Marshall B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (10 - 12)
11', Simonsson B. (Try),
13', Moses M. (Missed Conversion),
15', Paulo J. (Try),
16', Moses M. (Conversion Goal),
29', Doueihi A. (Try),
31', Madden J. (Conversion Goal),
35', Bula J. (Try),
37', Madden J. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (10 - 8)
43', Tavana F. (Try),
45', Madden J. (Conversion Goal),
60', Twidle A. (Try),
61', Moses M. (Missed Conversion),
62', Twidle A. (Try),
64', Da Silva T. (Missed Conversion),
78', Moses M. (Penalty Goal),
80', Madden J. (Penalty Goal),
80', Moses M. (Missed Penalty),
Extra Time (0 - 2)
82', Moses M. (Missed Penalty),
85', Madden J. (Penalty Goal),
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Parramatta won 2.
In recent matches, Parramatta has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Wests is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Recently, Parramatta has had a series of away games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Parramatta won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 522:389. (average 26.1:19.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Parramatta won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 217:171. (average 24.1:19).
Australia
New-zealand
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Papalii J. 
Bula J. 
Tavana F. 
Doueihi A. 
Williams J. 
Pole F. 
Moretti L. 
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