Match Info
NRL - Round 4Date: 28 March 2026, SaturdayLocation: CommBank Stadium (Sydney)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Australia | Fox League, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports, NRL |
 New-zealand | SKY Go NZ |
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Penrith Panthers |
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Parramatta Eels |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.19 |
26 |
5 |
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 |
1.25 |
20 |
4.6 |
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1.18 |
24.81 |
5.33 |
 Watch |
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1.17 |
23 |
5 |
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1.18 |
27 |
5.17 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.19 ↓
(1.32) |
24.16 ↓
(25.95) |
5.02 ↑
(3.45) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 47.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-16)
- The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Penrith Panthers
77.7% | Draw
3.8% | Parramatta Eels
18.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Penrith Panthers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Penrith Panthers's performance.Parramatta Eels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Parramatta Eels might be facing challenges that affect their performance.Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Penrith (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:16 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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1.  Edwards D.
| 1. Iongi I.
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2. Jenkins T.
| 2. Simonsson B.
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3. Alamoti P.
| 3. Kelly B.
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4. McLean C.
| 4. Russell S.
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5.  To'o B.
| 5. Addo-Carr J.
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6. Talagi B.
| 6. Pezet J.
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7. Cleary N. (C)
| 7. Moses M. (C)
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8.  Leota M.
| 8.  Williams J.
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9. Kenny M.
| 9. Smith R.
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10. Smith L.
| 10. Paulo J.
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11. Papali'i I.
| 11. Tuilagi K.
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12. Martin L.
| 12.  Kautoga K.
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13. Yeo I.
| 13. Walker D.
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| Substitutes |
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15. Phillips B.
| 14. Da Silva T.
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16. Sorensen S.
| 15. Tuivaiti S.
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17. Garner L.
| 16. Doorey M.
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18. Tago I.
| 17.  Moretti L.
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19. Lussick F.
| 18. Guymer C.
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21. Cole J.
| 19. Papalii J.
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| Coaches |
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. Cleary I.
| . Ryles J.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (30 - 4)
- 5', Yeo I. (Try),
- 6', Cleary N. (Conversion Goal),
- 10', Papali'i I. (Try),
- 11', Cleary N. (Conversion Goal),
- 12', Talagi B. (Try),
- 14', Cleary N. (Conversion Goal),
- 21', Addo-Carr J. (Try),
- 25', Smith L. (Try),
- 26', Cleary N. (Conversion Goal),
- 27', McLean C. (Try),
- 28', Cleary N. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (18 - 16)
- 46', Simonsson B. (Try),
- 54', Alamoti P. (Try),
- 54', Cleary N. (Conversion Goal),
- 57', Jenkins T. (Try),
- 59', Cleary N. (Conversion Goal),
- 69', Walker D. (Try),
- 69', Moses M. (Conversion Goal),
- 72', Russell S. (Try),
- 73', Moses M. (Conversion Goal),
- 77', Jenkins T. (Try),
- 77', Cleary N. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: ) and 10).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Penrith won 4.Penrith has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).Parramatta is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).Parramatta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games. In this match, Penrith is the undisputed favorite.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Penrith won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 408:305. (average 20.4:15.3).Including home matches between the teams, Penrith won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 236:172. (average 19.7:14.3).
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Standings
Main | | Pl | W | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Penrith Panthers | 8 | 7 | 1 | 273:106 | 14 |
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| 15 | Parramatta Eels | 8 | 3 | 5 | 180:279 | 6 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Australian NRL | | | 13.07.25 | Parramatta Eels - Penrith Panthers | 10:32 | | 01.06.25 | Penrith Panthers - Parramatta Eels | 18:10 | | 09.08.24 | Parramatta Eels - Penrith Panthers | 34:36 | | 15.03.24 | Penrith Panthers - Parramatta Eels | 26:18 | | 24.08.23 | Penrith Panthers - Parramatta Eels | 18:32 | | 23.03.23 | Parramatta Eels - Penrith Panthers | 17:16 OT | | 11.02.23 | Penrith Panthers - Parramatta Eels | 22:16 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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