Match Info

Super League - Round 27

Date: 11 September 2026, Friday

Location: Halliwell Jones Stadium (Warrington)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Go
International	Superleague+


	Warrington Wolves		Toulouse Olympique

	1	X	2
	2.05	19	1.83	Watch
	2.05	18	1.85
	1.73	17	2.1	Watch
	2.02	23	1.85	Watch
	1.87	20	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.36)	19.4 ↓ (21)	1.93 ↓ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 48.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Warrington Wolves
47.5%

Draw
4.8%

Toulouse Olympique
47.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

65.9%

4.3%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.3%

4.3%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Warrington Wolves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Warrington Wolves's form might have worsened.

Toulouse Olympique has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Toulouse Olympique's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warrington Wolves than the current prediction. (+18.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Warrington Wolves, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toulouse Olympique than the current prediction. (-18.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Toulouse Olympique, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Warrington Wolves - Toulouse Olympique Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 25:25

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Taylor-Wray C.	2. Ulberg P.
8. Yates L.	6. Lacans T.
10. Harrison J.	8. Belmas L.
11. Holroyd A.	9. Hands B.
14. Powell S.	10. Roumanos J.
19. Hayes L.	12. Jussaume M.
23. Lindop A.	15. Cator J.
26. Smith J.	19. Tropis R.
27. Thewlis J.	22. O'Kane H.
32. Smith E.	25. Polselli L.
35. Webster L.	28. Pons M.
36. McKler C.	29. Rouge C.
37. Irwin E.	41. Grossemy L.
Substitutes
25. Wood M.	13. Marion A.
30. McKinney T.	17. Butler R.
31. Hartill B.	20. Wallace A.
33. Rhodes T.	27. Garrigues H.
38. Coop D.	30. Chan T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (8 - 8)
9', Ulberg P. (Try),
12', Lindop A. (Try),
34', Pons M. (Try),
40', Webster L. (Try),
2nd Half (18 - 6)
49', Tropis R. (Try),
50', Rouge C. (Conversion Goal),
53', Wood M. (Try),
55', Hayes L. (Conversion Goal),
59', Lindop A. (Try),
61', Hayes L. (Conversion Goal),
72', Smith E. (Try),
74', Hayes L. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8).

Warrington is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Toulouse Olympique has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Warrington will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Warrington won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 88:52. (average 29.3:17.3).

Including home match between the teams, Warrington won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 32:18.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Warrington Wolves
Super League Rugby
05.09.26	Wakefield Trinity Wildcats - Warrington Wolves	25:18 ✺
29.08.26	Hull - Warrington Wolves	14:16 ✺
23.08.26	Warrington Wolves - Huddersfield Giants	34:24 ✺
18.08.26	Hull Kingston Rovers - Warrington Wolves	22:34 ✺
13.08.26	Warrington Wolves - York City Knights	30:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWWWW
- Toulouse Olympique
Super League Rugby
04.09.26	Toulouse Olympique - Hull	44:30 ✺
29.08.26	Toulouse Olympique - Bradford Bulls	28:16 ✺
22.08.26	Hull Kingston Rovers - Toulouse Olympique	12:32 ✺
15.08.26	Toulouse Olympique - Huddersfield Giants	10:26 ✺
08.08.26	Wigan Warriors - Toulouse Olympique	48:18 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Super League Rugby
16.05.26	Toulouse Olympique - Warrington Wolves	16:24
11.08.22	Warrington Wolves - Toulouse Olympique	32:18
26.02.22	Toulouse Olympique - Warrington Wolves	18:32

Warrington Wolves - Toulouse Olympique: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide