Match Info

Super League - Round 26

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Belle Vue (Wakefield)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Fox League
Germany	Magenta Sport, Sportdigital1+
United-kingdom	BBC iPlayer app, BBC iPlayer, BBC Sport app, BBC Sport, BBC Two, Sky Go
International	Superleague+


	Wakefield Trinity Wildcats		Warrington Wolves

	1	X	2
	1.62	21	2.38	Watch
	1.65	18	2.4
	1.53	17	2.5	Watch
	1.64	18	2.48
	1.59	20	2.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.5)	18.8 ↓ (19)	2.45 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 42.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wakefield Trinity Wildcats
57.4%

Draw
4.9%

Warrington Wolves
37.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

59.6%

4.7%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8%

4.3%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wakefield Trinity Wildcats has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Warrington Wolves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wakefield Trinity Wildcats than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warrington Wolves than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Wakefield Trinity Wildcats - Warrington Wolves Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Wakefield will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Warrington will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 24:19

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jowitt M.	2. Thewlis J.
3. Scott C.	3. King T.
4. Hall C.	4. Hopoate A.
5. Johnstone T.	5. Ashton M.
7. Lino M.	6. Williams G.
8. McMeeken M.	9. Walker D.
9. Smoothy T.	10. Harrison J.
10. Rodwell K.	12. Stone S.
14. Pitts J.	13. Currie B.
18. Vagana I.	16. Byrne L.
19. Walmsley L.	19. Hayes L.
20. Sinfield J.	20. Bentley J.
34. Guler E.	26. Smith J.
Substitutes
6. Trueman J.	8. Yates L.
13. Tevaga J.	25. Wood M.
15. Hamlin-Uele C.	31. Hartill B.
16. Faatili C.	34. Tanginoa K.
17. Smith H.	36. McKler C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (6 - 14)
10', Hayes L. (Penalty Goal),
14', Hayes L. (Penalty Goal),
27', Johnstone T. (Try),
29', Jowitt M. (Conversion Goal),
35', Smith J. (Try),
39', Ashton M. (Try),
40', Hayes L. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (19 - 4)
43', Vagana I. (Try),
44', Jowitt M. (Conversion Goal),
47', Vagana I. (Try),
49', Jowitt M. (Conversion Goal),
58', Hopoate A. (Try),
70', Scott C. (Try),
72', Jowitt M. (Conversion Goal),
75', Lino M. (Drop Goal),

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wakefield won 3.

In recent matches, Wakefield has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Warrington is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Wakefield may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Wakefield could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wakefield won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 471:476. (average 23.6:23.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Wakefield won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 269:184. (average 29.9:20.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wakefield Trinity Wildcats
Super League Rugby
29.08.26	Wakefield Trinity Wildcats - York City Knights	28:12 ✺
21.08.26	Wigan Warriors - Wakefield Trinity Wildcats	26:12 ✺
15.08.26	Wakefield Trinity Wildcats - St Helens	16:46 ✺
07.08.26	Wakefield Trinity Wildcats - Leeds Rhinos	22:24 ✺
01.08.26	Catalans Dragons - Wakefield Trinity Wildcats	12:32 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WLLLW
- Warrington Wolves
Super League Rugby
29.08.26	Hull - Warrington Wolves	14:16 ✺
23.08.26	Warrington Wolves - Huddersfield Giants	34:24 ✺
18.08.26	Hull Kingston Rovers - Warrington Wolves	22:34 ✺
13.08.26	Warrington Wolves - York City Knights	30:10 ✺
08.08.26	Bradford Bulls - Warrington Wolves	4:42 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Super League Rugby
28.02.26	Warrington Wolves - Wakefield Trinity Wildcats	27:16
18.05.25	Wakefield Trinity Wildcats - Warrington Wolves	40:10
09.03.25	Warrington Wolves - Wakefield Trinity Wildcats	16:30
30.07.23	Wakefield Trinity Wildcats - Warrington Wolves	42:6
05.05.23	Warrington Wolves - Wakefield Trinity Wildcats	32:18
12.06.22	Wakefield Trinity Wildcats - Warrington Wolves	30:24
Challenge Cup Rugby League
27.03.22	Warrington Wolves - Wakefield Trinity Wildcats	12:16

Wakefield Trinity Wildcats - Warrington Wolves: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide