Match Info
Nations Championship - Round 1Date: 4 July 2026, SaturdayLocation: Sydney Football Stadium (Sydney)Where to Watch on TV: | |
|---|
Africa | SuperSport Rugby |
Asia | Premier Sports Rugby Asia |
Australia | Stan Sport |
France | TMC |
Ireland | Virgin Media One, Virgin Media Player |
Italy | SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Arena |
Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 2 |
New-zealand | Sky Sport 1 |
Nigeria | SuperSport Rugby |
Portugal | Sport TV1 |
Romania | Digi Sport 2 |
Slovakia | Voyo |
South-africa | SuperSport Rugby |
United-kingdom | ITV 1, ITV X, STV, STV Player, UTV, Virgin TV Go app |
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Australia |
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Ireland |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.25 |
15 |
1.73 |
|
 |
2.19 |
20.48 |
1.79 |
Watch |
 |
2.2 |
26 |
1.7 |
|
 |
2.1 |
24 |
1.78 |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.19 ↑ (1.75) |
21.37 ↓ (23) |
1.75 ↓ (2.1) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 52.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)
- The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Australia 42.5% | Draw 4.3% | Ireland 53.1% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Australia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Australia's form might have worsened.Ireland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ireland's recent form is better than expected.Australia - Ireland Predictions
Users Predictions:
1 users predict this event. Ireland will win (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 25:28 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
1. Bell A.
| 1. O'Toole T.
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2. Nasser J.
| 2. Sheehan D.
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3. Alaalatoa A.
| 3. Furlong T.
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4. Williams J.
| 4. McCarthy J.
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5. Canham J.
| 5. Ryan J.
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6. Valetini R.
| 6. Prendergast C.
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7. Mcreight F.
| 7. van der Flier J.
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8. Wilson H.
| 8. Conan J.
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9. Lonergan R.
| 9. Gibson-Park J.
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10. Gordon C.
| 10. Prendergast S.
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11. Pietsch D.
| 11. Osborne J.
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12. Ikitau L.
| 12. McCloskey S.
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13. Sua'ali'i J.
| 13. Ringrose G.
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14. Jorgensen M.
| 14. O'Brien J.
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15. Campbell J.
| 15. Keenan H.
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| Substitutes |
|---|
16. Paenga-Amosa B.
| 16. Kelleher R.
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17. Slipper J.
| 17. Loughman J.
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18. Tupou T.
| 18. Clarkson T.
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19. Shaw L.
| 19. Beirne T.
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20. Hooper T.
| 20. Timoney N.
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21. McDermott T.
| 21. Casey C.
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22. Donaldson B.
| 22. Frawley C.
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23. Wright T.
| 23. Aki B.
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| Coaches |
|---|
. Schmidt J.
| . Farrell A.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (24 - 19)
- 3', Pietsch D. (Try),
- 4', Gordon C. (Missed Conversion),
- 10', Prendergast C. (Try),
- 11', Prendergast S. (Conversion Goal),
- 14', Campbell J. (Try),
- 15', Gordon C. (Missed Conversion),
- 19', van der Flier J. (Try),
- 20', Prendergast S. (Missed Conversion),
- 24', Canham J. (Try),
- 25', Gordon C. (Conversion Goal),
- 27', Lonergan R. (Try),
- 28', Gordon C. (Conversion Goal),
- 34', Lonergan R. ↓, McDermott T. ↑,
- 40+2', Gibson-Park J. (Try),
- 40+2', Prendergast S. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (7 - 14)
- 47', Keenan H. (Try),
- 48', Prendergast S. (Conversion Goal),
- 52', Furlong T. ↓, Clarkson T. ↑,
- 52', O'Toole T. ↓, Loughman J. ↑,
- 52', Prendergast C. ↓, Beirne T. ↑,
- 52', van der Flier J. ↓, Timoney N. ↑,
- 53', McDermott T. (Try),
- 54', Gordon C. (Conversion Goal),
- 55', Alaalatoa A. ↓, Tupou T. ↑,
- 55', Bell A. ↓, Slipper J. ↑,
- 55', Nasser J. ↓, Paenga-Amosa B. ↑,
- 57', Gordon C. ↓, Donaldson B. ↑,
- 59', Canham J. ↓, Shaw L. ↑,
- 59', Ringrose G. ↓, Casey C. ↑,
- 59', Osborne J. ↓, Frawley C. ↑,
- 60', Loughman J. ↓, O'Toole T. ↑,
- 61', Sheehan D. ↓, Kelleher R. ↑,
- 69', Valetini R. ↓, Hooper T. ↑,
- 76', Shaw L. 🟨,
- 77', Clarkson T. (Try),
- 78', Campbell J. ↓, Wright T. ↑,
- 78', Prendergast S. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Australia won 0. In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Australia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 127:149. (average 21.2:24.8).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Friendly International Rugby Union | | | 15.11.25 | Ireland - Australia | 46:19 | | 30.11.24 | Ireland - Australia | 22:19 | | 19.11.22 | Ireland - Australia | 13:10 | | 26.11.16 | Ireland - Australia | 27:24 | | 22.11.14 | Ireland - Australia | 26:23 | | 16.11.13 | Ireland - Australia | 15:32 |
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