Match Info
Six Nations - Round 5Date: 14 March 2026, SaturdayLocation: Aviva Stadium (Dublin)Where to Watch on TV: | |
|---|
Australia | Stan Sport |
Brazil | ESPN 3 |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 1, Oneplay |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Viaplay |
France | TF 1 |
Iceland | Viaplay |
Ireland | Virgin Media One, Virgin Media Player |
Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 5 |
Norway | Viaplay |
Portugal | Sport TV7 |
Slovakia | Nova Sport 1, Voyo |
Spain | Movistar Plus+ |
Sweden | Viaplay |
Switzerland | TF 1 |
United-kingdom | ITV 1, ITV X, STV, STV Player, UTV, Virgin TV Go app |
Usa | Peacock TV Premium, Peacock |
|
 |
|
 |
|
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Ireland |
|
Scotland |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.43 |
29 |
3.2 |
|
 |
1.43 |
22 |
2.9 |
|
 |
1.45 |
21.35 |
3.03 |
Watch |
 |
1.44 |
23 |
2.88 |
|
 |
1.49 |
23 |
2.98 |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.45 ↓ (1.47) |
23.67 ↑ (22.88) |
3 ↑ (2.86) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 49.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)
- The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Ireland 64.8% | Draw 4% | Scotland 31.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ireland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)Scotland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)Ireland - Scotland Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ireland (votes: 2 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 28:22 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
1. O'Toole T.
| 1. Schoeman P.
|
2. Sheehan D.
| 2. Turner G.
|
3. Furlong T.
| 3. Fagerson Z.
|
4. McCarthy J.
| 4. Williamson M.
|
5. Beirne T.
| 5. Gilchrist G.
|
6. Conan J.
| 6. Fagerson M.
|
7. van der Flier J.
| 7. Darge R.
|
8. Sweetman-Doris C. (C)
| 8. Dempsey J.
|
9. Gibson-Park J.
| 9. White B.
|
10. Crowley J.
| 10. Russell F.
|
11. O'Brien T.
| 11. Steyn K.
|
12. McCloskey S.
| 12. Tuipulotu S. (C)
|
13. Ringrose G.
| 13. Jones H.
|
14. Baloucoune R.
| 14. Graham D.
|
15. Osborne J.
| 15. Kinghorn B.
|
| Substitutes |
|---|
16. Kelleher R.
| 16. Ashman E.
|
17. Milne M.
| 17. Sutherland R.
|
18. Bealham F.
| 18. Rae D.
|
19. Murray D.
| 19. Craig A.
|
20. Timoney N.
| 20. Bradbury M.
|
21. Casey C.
| 21. Horne G.
|
22. Frawley C.
| 22. Rowe K.
|
23. Aki B.
| 23. Jordan T.
|
| Coaches |
|---|
. Farrell A.
| . Townsend G.
|
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (19 - 7)
- 3', Osborne J. (Try),
- 4', Crowley J. (Conversion Goal),
- 7', Graham D. (Try),
- 8', Russell F. (Conversion Goal),
- 11', Sheehan D. (Try),
- 11', Crowley J. (Conversion Goal),
- 18', Turner G. ↓, Ashman E. ↑,
- 19', Baloucoune R. (Try),
- 20', Crowley J. (Missed Conversion),
- 2nd Half (24 - 14)
- 51', Beirne T. ↓, Murray D. ↑,
- 52', Russell F. (Try),
- 53', Russell F. (Conversion Goal),
- 54', van der Flier J. ↓, Timoney N. ↑,
- 57', Murray D. (Try),
- 57', Crowley J. (Conversion Goal),
- 61', Darge R. (Try),
- 62', Russell F. (Conversion Goal),
- 62', Graham D. ↓, Rowe K. ↑,
- 62', White B. ↓, Horne G. ↑,
- 62', Williamson M. ↓, Craig A. ↑,
- 62', Dempsey J. ↓, Bradbury M. ↑,
- 62', Murray D. ↓, Beirne T. ↑,
- 65', O'Toole T. ↓, Milne M. ↑,
- 65', Sheehan D. ↓, Kelleher R. ↑,
- 65', Furlong T. ↓, Bealham F. ↑,
- 65', McCarthy J. ↓, Murray D. ↑,
- 65', Ringrose G. ↓, Aki B. ↑,
- 65', Baloucoune R. ↓, Frawley C. ↑,
- 68', O'Brien T. (Try),
- 69', Crowley J. (Conversion Goal),
- 70', Schoeman P. ↓, Sutherland R. ↑,
- 70', Fagerson Z. ↓, Rae D. ↑,
- 70', Rowe K. ↓, Jordan T. ↑,
- 73', Crowley J. (Penalty Goal),
- 78', Gibson-Park J. ↓, Casey C. ↑,
- 80', O'Brien T. (Try),
- 80+1', Crowley J. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ireland won 5.Scotland may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. Ireland might have a minor edge in this game.We predict that Ireland will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Ireland won 16 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 448:235. (average 24.9:13.1).Including home matches between the teams, Ireland won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 275:124. (average 25:11.3).
Standings
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
|
|
| 3 | Ireland | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 135:117 | 19 |
| 4 | Scotland | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 115:131 | 11 |
|
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;