Match Info

Friendly International

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Aviva Stadium (Dublin)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport Rugby
Australia	Stan Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Ireland	RTE 2, RTE Player
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 5
Nigeria	SuperSport Rugby
Norway	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV6
Slovakia	Voyo
South-africa	SuperSport Rugby
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	Discovery+, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports Ultimate


	Ireland		Australia

	1	X	2
	1.22	30	4.2	Watch
	1.20	25.07	4.83	Watch
	1.26	23	4.05
	1.26	26	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↑ (1.16)	26.02 ↓ (37)	4.27 ↓ (4.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 46.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-12)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ireland
74.8%

Draw
3.6%

Australia
21.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

78.9%

2.5%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ireland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Australia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Ireland - Australia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:17

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. McCarthy P.	1. Bell A.
2. Sheehan D.	2. Faessler M.
3. Furlong T.	3. Alaalatoa A.
4. Ryan J.	4. Williams J.
5. Beirne T.	5. Hooper T.
6. Baird R.	6. Valetini R.
7. Sweetman-Doris C. (C)	7. Mcreight F.
8. Conan J.	8. Wilson H. (C)
9. Gibson-Park J.	9. Gordon J.
10. Prendergast S.	10. O'Connor J.
11. Lowe J.	11. Potter H.
12. McCloskey S.	12. Ikitau L.
13. Henshaw R.	13. Sua'ali'i J.
14. O'Brien T.	14. Daugunu F.
15. Hansen M.	15. Jorgensen M.
Substitutes
16. Kelleher R.	16. Pollard B.
17. Porter A.	17. Robertson T.
18. Clarkson T.	18. Nonggorr Z.
19. Timoney N.	19. Frost N.
20. Prendergast C.	20. Tizzano C.
21. Casey C.	21. Lonergan R.
22. Crowley J.	22. Edmed T.
23. Aki B.	23. Kellaway A.
Coaches
. Farrell A.	. Schmidt J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (19 - 14)
6', Hansen M. (Try),
7', Prendergast S. (Conversion Goal),
11', Hansen M. (Try),
11', Prendergast S. (Conversion Goal),
18', Ikitau L. (Try),
19', O'Connor J. (Conversion Goal),
28', Hansen M. (Try),
40', Mcreight F. (Try),
40+1', O'Connor J. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (27 - 5)
56', Prendergast S. (Drop Goal),
62', Crowley J. (Penalty Goal),
69', Sweetman-Doris C. (Try),
70', Crowley J. (Conversion Goal),
71', Frost N. 🟨,
73', Pollard B. (Try),
77', Baird R. (Try),
78', Crowley J. (Conversion Goal),
80', Henshaw R. (Try),
80+1', Crowley J. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

Australia has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Australia has had a series of away games.

In this match, Ireland is considered a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ireland won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 103:108. (average 20.6:21.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Ireland won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 103:108. (average 20.6:21.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ireland rugby
Friendly International Rugby Union
08.11.25	Ireland - Japan	41:10 ✺
01.11.25	Ireland - New Zealand	13:26 ✺
12.07.25	Portugal - Ireland	7:106 ✺
05.07.25	Georgia - Ireland	5:34 ✺
Six Nations
15.03.25	Italy - Ireland	17:22 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLWWW
- Australia rugby
Friendly International Rugby Union
08.11.25	Italy - Australia	26:19 ✺
01.11.25	England - Australia	25:7 ✺
25.10.25	Japan - Australia	15:19 ✺
Rugby Championship
04.10.25	Australia - New Zealand	14:28 ✺
27.09.25	New Zealand - Australia	33:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Friendly International Rugby Union
30.11.24	Ireland - Australia	22:19
19.11.22	Ireland - Australia	13:10
26.11.16	Ireland - Australia	27:24
22.11.14	Ireland - Australia	26:23
16.11.13	Ireland - Australia	15:32

Ireland - Australia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide