Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPEAN RUGBY CHAMPIONS CUP - ROUND 1

Date: 9 December 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Sports
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV6
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Bristol Rugby		Lyon

	1	X	2
	1.2	34	4.5
	1.18	26	4.5
	1.22	23	4.33
	1.22	32	4.45
	1.2	28	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.2 ↓ (1.4)	28.6 ↑ (21.33)	4.48 ↑ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 52.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-12)

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bristol Rugby
76.3%

Draw
3.2%

Lyon
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.7%

4.3%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2%

4.6%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bristol Rugby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bristol Rugby's performance.

Lyon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lyon might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol Rugby than the current prediction. (-15.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bristol Rugby that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lyon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Bristol Rugby - Lyon Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Bristol will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:20

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Preview

The competitors look crappy now.

In this match Bristol is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bristol Rugby
English Premiership Rugby
02.12.23	Bristol Rugby - Gloucester	51:26 ✺
25.11.23	Saracens - Bristol Rugby	39:31 ✺
17.11.23	Bath - Bristol Rugby	20:19 ✺
11.11.23	Bristol Rugby - Sale Sharks	13:27 ✺
05.11.23	Exeter Chiefs - Bristol Rugby	29:20 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 WLLLL
- Lyon OU
French Top 14
02.12.23	Castres - Lyon	29:14 ✺
25.11.23	Lyon - Aviron Bayonnais	42:29 ✺
18.11.23	Oyonnax Rugby - Lyon	38:20 ✺
11.11.23	Lyon - Stade Français	32:36 ✺
04.11.23	Racing Métro - Lyon	22:20 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LWLLL

Bristol Rugby - Lyon: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide