Match Info

European Rugby Champions Cup - Round 2

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Ashton Gate Stadium (Bristol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport Rugby
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Nigeria	SuperSport Rugby
Portugal	Sport TV7
South-africa	SuperSport Rugby
United-kingdom	FloRugby.com, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player


	Bristol Rugby		Section Paloise

	1	X	2
	1.04	51	10
	1.04	45	9.2
	1.05	36.39	10.48	Watch
	1.04	34	9.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.04 ↓ (1.07)	41.6 ↑ (32.3)	9.8 ↑ (8.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 62.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-17)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bristol Rugby
88.4%

Draw
2.2%

Section Paloise
9.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

85.9%

2.8%

11.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bristol Rugby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Section Paloise has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Bristol Rugby - Section Paloise Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Bristol will win (votes: 1 - 50%). Section Paloise will win (votes: 1 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Section Paloise (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 40:23

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Genge E.	1. Biziwu D.
2. Oghre G.	2. Rey L. (C)
3. Chawatama L.	3. Tokolahi S.
4. Rubiolo P.	4. Jolmes T.
5. Batley J.	5. Capelli M.
6. Owen J.	6. Kpoku J.
7. Grondona B.	7. Paul C.
8. Harding F. (C)	8. Tuipulotu C.
9. Marmion K.	9. Robson D.
10. Jordan T.	10. Mondinat C.
11. Boshoff A.	11. Laporte C.
12. Williams J.	12. Valentino Q.
13. Janse van Rensburg B.	13. Brau-Boirie F.
14. Ravouvou K.	14. Grandidier A.
15. Rees-Zammit L.	15. Luc A.
Substitutes
16. Thacker H.	16. Delhommel Y.
17. Woolmore J.	17. Parrou H.
18. Lahiff M.	18. Zabala J.
19. Grondona S.	19. Picquette R.
20. Ivanishvili L.	20. Credoz L.
21. Wolstenholme S.	21. Souverbie T.
22. Worsley S.	22. Decron N.
23. Carrington J.	23. Carol T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (33 - 0)
1', Genge E. (Try),
2', Jordan T. (Conversion Goal),
10', Grondona B. (Try),
11', Jordan T. (Conversion Goal),
25', Marmion K. (Try),
26', Jordan T. (Conversion Goal),
35', Ravouvou K. (Try),
39', Oghre G. (Try),
40', Jordan T. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (28 - 12)
43', Janse van Rensburg B. (Try),
44', Jordan T. (Conversion Goal),
48', Batley J. (Try),
49', Jordan T. (Conversion Goal),
54', Brau-Boirie F. (Try),
55', Mondinat C. (Conversion Goal),
56', Boshoff A. (Try),
57', Jordan T. (Conversion Goal),
58', Grondona S. (Try),
59', Jordan T. (Conversion Goal),
62', Brau-Boirie F. (Try),

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Section Paloise may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Bristol is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bristol won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 69:32. (average 34.5:16).

Including home match between the teams, Bristol won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 41:14.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bristol Rugby
European Rugby Champions Cup
06.12.25	Llanelli Scarlets - Bristol Rugby	16:17 ✺
English Premiership Rugby
29.11.25	Bristol Rugby - Northampton Saints	46:12 ✺
English Premiership Rugby Cup
22.11.25	Exeter Chiefs - Bristol Rugby	22:17 ✺
31.10.25	Bristol Rugby - Bath	19:49 ✺
English Premiership Rugby
25.10.25	Bath - Bristol Rugby	40:15 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WWLLL
- Section Paloise
European Rugby Champions Cup
07.12.25	Section Paloise - Northampton Saints	27:35 ✺
French Top 14
30.11.25	Section Paloise - La Rochelle	53:33 ✺
21.11.25	Bordeaux Bègles - Section Paloise	33:34 ✺
01.11.25	Section Paloise - Perpignan	27:23 ✺
25.10.25	Racing Métro - Section Paloise	15:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Challenge Cup Rugby
16.12.16	Section Paloise - Bristol Rugby	18:28
11.12.16	Bristol Rugby - Section Paloise	41:14

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