Match Info

Top 14 - Round 6

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade du Hameau (Pau) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
France	16:35	CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 4
United Kingdom	15:35	FloSports app
International	14:35	TOP 14 Rugby TV


	Section Paloise		Castres

	1	X	2
	1.05	41	9
	1.06	35	8.6
	1.08	35.14	8.93	Watch
	1.08	50	7.25
	1.1	41	6.97
	1.06	35	8.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.07 ↑ (1.05)	39.52 ↑ (37.64)	8.23 ↓ (10.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 62.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Section Paloise
86.4%

Draw
2.3%

Castres
11.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

88.9%

2.5%

8.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Section Paloise has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Castres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Section Paloise - Castres Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Section Paloise will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:30

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Etchebehere A.	1. Walcker Q.
2. Delhommel Y.	2. Durand T.
3. Tokolahi S.	3. Corato N.
4. Jolmes T.	4. Maravat G.
5. Capelli M.	5. Vanverberghe F.
6. Gorgadze B. (C)	6. Babillot M. (C)
7. Credoz L.	7. Delaporte B.
8. Isa F.	8. Ramototabua V.
9. Daubagna T.	9. Arata S.
10. Desperes A.	10. Vidal T.
11. Grandidier-Nkanang A.	11. Vargas A.
12. Brau-Boirie F.	12. Goodhue J.
13. Gailleton E.	13. Gontineac T.
14. Manu T.	14. Ambadiang C.
15. Mondinat C.	15. Chabouni T.
Substitutes
16. Caperaa Y.	16. Colonna P.
17. Biziwu D.	17. Sokobale A.
18. Auradou H.	18. Gabriel F.
19. Grondona S.	19. Meka S.
20. Vergnes-Taillefer B.	20. Fernandez J.
21. Souverbie T.	21. Le Brun L.
22. Laporte C.	22. Cocagi A.
23. Papidze G.	23. Chilachava L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (13 - 17)
7', Vidal T. (Penalty Goal),
11', Desperes A. (Penalty Goal),
15', Ambadiang C. (Try),
16', Vidal T. (Conversion Goal),
23', Manu T. (Try),
24', Desperes A. (Conversion Goal),
35', Desperes A. (Penalty Goal),
36', Mondinat C. 🟨,
37', Durand T. (Try),
38', Vidal T. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (22 - 9)
41', Gailleton E. (Try),
42', Desperes A. (Conversion Goal),
45', Vidal T. (Penalty Goal),
50', Desperes A. (Penalty Goal),
60', Isa F. (Try),
61', Desperes A. (Missed Conversion),
62', Vidal T. (Penalty Goal),
63', Desperes A. (Missed Penalty),
71', Vidal T. (Penalty Goal),
80+1', Grandidier-Nkanang A. (Try),
80+1', Desperes A. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Top 14 Playoffs - Semi - finals and 12th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Section Paloise won 3.

Section Paloise has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Performances by Castres have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Section Paloise holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Section Paloise has recorded 8 wins, 0 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 446:455 (averaging 22.3:22.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Section Paloise against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 254:194 goals (averaging 25.4:19.4 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
3	Section Paloise	7	5	0	2	259:222	22
11	Castres Olympique	7	3	0	4	142:161	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Section Paloise
French Top 14
03.10.26	Vannes - Section Paloise	40:43 ✺
26.09.26	Section Paloise - La Rochelle	39:17 ✺
19.09.26	Lyon - Section Paloise	51:25 ✺
12.09.26	Section Paloise - Aviron Bayonnais	70:28 ✺
05.09.26	Montpellier - Section Paloise	19:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WWLWW
- Castres Olympique
French Top 14
03.10.26	Castres - Toulouse	7:8 ✺
26.09.26	Clermont - Castres	20:6 ✺
19.09.26	Castres - Toulon	29:27 ✺
12.09.26	Perpignan - Castres	43:29 ✺
05.09.26	Castres - Vannes	29:20 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

French Top 14
09.05.26	Section Paloise - Castres	27:15
06.09.25	Castres - Section Paloise	15:17
04.01.25	Castres - Section Paloise	24:19
12.10.24	Section Paloise - Castres	33:26
03.02.24	Section Paloise - Castres	33:44
19.08.23	Castres - Section Paloise	24:23
06.05.23	Section Paloise - Castres	40:3

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