Match Info

FRANCE: TOP 14 - ROUND 13

Date: 23 December 2022, Friday


	Brive		Clermont

	1	X	2
	1.83	17	2
	1.75	21	2.14
	1.83	21	2.06
	1.8	19	2.05
	1.79	23	2.07
	1.81	20	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.85)	20.17 ↑ (20)	2.06 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 43.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brive
50.9%

Draw
4.5%

Clermont
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.8%

4.4%

47.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

4.1%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brive has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Clermont has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brive than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brive that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Clermont than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Clermont could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.4%	0%	84.6%

Brive - Clermont Predictions

Users Predictions: Clermont will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 23:23

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Brive won 2.

Brive has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Clermont is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Brive won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 292-529.

Including matches at home between the teams Brive won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 154-206.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Brive
Challenge Cup Rugby
16.12.22	Brive - Connacht	24:31 ✺
10.12.22	Cardiff Rugby - Brive	41:0 ✺
French Top 14
03.12.22	Bordeaux Bègles - Brive	33:13 ✺
26.11.22	Section Paloise - Brive	22:6 ✺
05.11.22	Brive - La Rochelle	17:19 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- ASM Clermont Auvergne
European Rugby Champions Cup
17.12.22	Leicester Tigers - Clermont	23:16 ✺
10.12.22	Clermont - Stormers	24:14 ✺
French Top 14
03.12.22	Clermont - Montpellier	19:14 ✺
27.11.22	Racing Métro - Clermont	46:12 ✺
05.11.22	Clermont - Aviron Bayonnais	20:25 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

French Top 14
02.04.22	Clermont - Brive	41:10
12.02.22	Brive - Clermont	27:20
01.05.21	Clermont - Brive	37:27
31.10.20	Brive - Clermont	21:43
08.09.19	Brive - Clermont	28:21
10.03.18	Brive - Clermont	9:11
16.09.17	Clermont - Brive	62:6

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