Match Info
Top 14 - Round 18Date: 28 February 2026, SaturdayLocation: Stade Marcel-Michelin (Clermont-Ferrand)Where to Watch on TV: | |
|---|
France | CANAL+ Sport |
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Clermont |
|
Aviron Bayonnais |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.11 |
34 |
6.5 |
|
 |
1.16 |
30 |
5.2 |
|
 |
1.17 |
30.32 |
5.69 |
Watch |
 |
1.15 |
29 |
5.5 |
|
 |
1.16 |
36 |
5.29 |
|
 |
1.22 |
19 |
4.35 |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.16 ↓ (1.19) |
29.72 ↑ (21.61) |
5.42 ↓ (5.58) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 60.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-15)
- The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Clermont 79.8% | Draw 3.1% | Aviron Bayonnais 17.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Clermont has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)Aviron Bayonnais has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Clermont - Aviron Bayonnais Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 38:23 
#ad
Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
1. Akhaladze G.
| 1. Calles I.
|
2. Massa B.
| 2. Martin L.
|
3. Ojovan C.
| 3. Tatafu T.
|
4. Ratuva T.
| 4. Johnson E.
|
5. Ceyte T.
| 5. Moon A.
|
6. Tixeront K.
| 6. Fischer A.
|
7. Hemery A.
| 7. Chouzenoux B.
|
8. Tolofua S.
| 8. Bruni R.
|
9. Jauneau B. (C)
| 9. Germain B.
|
10. Plummer H.
| 10. Segonds J. (C)
|
11. Jurand J.
| 11. Erbinartegaray A.
|
12. Simone I.
| 12. Tuilagi M.
|
13. Loaloa A.
| 13. Martocq G.
|
14. Delguy B.
| 14. Spring T.
|
15. Hamdaoui K.
| 15. Tiberghien C.
|
| Substitutes |
|---|
16. Fourcade E.
| 16. Bosch F.
|
17. Lotrian S.
| 17. Cormenier S.
|
18. Simmons R.
| 18. Paulos L.
|
19. Sowakula P.
| 19. Ariceta M.
|
20. Zamora L.
| 20. Jantjies H.
|
21. Tauzin L.
| 21. Mori F.
|
22. Muarua P.
| 22. Orabe Y.
|
23. Dzmanashvili G.
| 23. Setiano E.
|
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (24 - 8)
- 5', Plummer H. (Penalty Goal),
- 7', Segonds J. (Penalty Goal),
- 17', Plummer H. (Try),
- 18', Plummer H. (Conversion Goal),
- 21', Tuilagi M. (Try),
- 27', Hamdaoui K. (Try),
- 28', Plummer H. (Conversion Goal),
- 30', Jauneau B. (Try),
- 30', Plummer H. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (14 - 7)
- 47', Jurand J. (Try),
- 48', Plummer H. (Conversion Goal),
- 59', Ceyte T. 🟨,
- 64', Zamora L. (Try),
- 69', Plummer H. (Conversion Goal),
- 77', Sowakula P. 🟨,
- 78', Paulos L. (Try),
- 79', Segonds J. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Clermont won 1.Clermont has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).Bayonne has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0). In this match, Clermont is the undeniable favorite.In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Clermont won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 500:350. (average 26.3:18.4).Including home matches between the teams, Clermont won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 342:98. (average 42.8:12.3).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
|
|
| 3 | Aviron Bayonnais | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 156:169 | 17 |
|
|
|
|
| 8 | Clermont | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 118:146 | 10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| French Top 14 | | | 18.10.25 | Aviron Bayonnais - Clermont | 44:17 | | 13.06.25 | Aviron Bayonnais - Clermont | 20:3 | | 02.03.25 | Aviron Bayonnais - Clermont | 31:18 | | 21.09.24 | Clermont - Aviron Bayonnais | 26:10 | | 17.02.24 | Aviron Bayonnais - Clermont | 21:13 | | 04.11.23 | Clermont - Aviron Bayonnais | 46:14 | | 13.05.23 | Aviron Bayonnais - Clermont | 21:18 |
|
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;