Match Info

Top 14 - Round 19

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade Marcel-Michelin (Clermont-Ferrand)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	CANAL+ Sport
United-kingdom	Premier Sports Player, Premier Sports Rugby


	Clermont		Montpellier

	1	X	2
	1.48	21	2.75
	1.38	21	3.15
	1.41	21.23	3.25	Watch
	1.36	21	3.2
	1.37	15	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↑ (1.34)	19.85 ↓ (21.25)	3.14 ↓ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 57.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Clermont
65.9%

Draw
4.7%

Montpellier
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.2%

4.4%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Clermont has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Montpellier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Clermont - Montpellier Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:26

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lotrian S.	1. Forletta E.
2. Massa B.	2. Uelese J.
3. Ojovan C.	3. Hounkpatin W.
4. Lanen T.	4. Verhaeghe F.
5. Ceyte T.	5. Duguid T.
6. Hemery A.	6. Nouchi L.
7. Kremer M.	7. Becognee A.
8. Sowakula P.	8. Vunipola V.
9. Jauneau B.	9. Price A.
10. Plummer H.	10. Miotti H.
11. Jurand J.	11. Moustin M.
12. Simone I.	12. Anyanwu L.
13. Loaloa A.	13. Cadot A.
14. Delguy B.	14. Ngandebe G.
15. Hamdaoui K.	15. Banks T.
Substitutes
16. Lam S.	16. Tolofua C.
17. Falgoux E.	17. Erdocio B.
18. Simmons R.	18. Chalureau B.
19. Dessaigne L.	19. Tauleigne M.
20. Muarua P.	20. Coly L.
21. Bezy S.	21. Vincent A.
22. Darricarrere L.	22. Taofifenua D.
23. Dzmanashvili G.	23. Haouas M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (10 - 9)
3', Miotti H. (Penalty Goal),
7', Miotti H. (Penalty Goal),
22', Sowakula P. (Try),
22', Plummer H. (Conversion Goal),
30', Miotti H. (Penalty Goal),
40+1', Plummer H. (Penalty Goal),
2nd Half (7 - 11)
47', Miotti H. (Penalty Goal),
48', Hemery A. (Try),
48', Plummer H. (Conversion Goal),
59', Coly L. (Penalty Goal),
77', Banks T. (Try),

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Clermont won 4.

In this match, Clermont is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Clermont will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Clermont won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 427:412. (average 21.4:20.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Clermont won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 234:205. (average 23.4:20.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
5	Montpellier	5	3	0	2	141:92	14
8	Clermont	5	2	0	3	118:146	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASM Clermont Auvergne
French Top 14
28.02.26	Clermont - Aviron Bayonnais	38:15 ✺
14.02.26	Toulon - Clermont	14:34 ✺
31.01.26	Castres - Clermont	28:23 ✺
25.01.26	Clermont - La Rochelle	32:27 ✺
European Rugby Champions Cup
17.01.26	Sharks - Clermont	50:12 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WWLWL
- Montpellier Hérault RC
French Top 14
28.02.26	Montpellier - Racing Métro	41:17 ✺
14.02.26	La Rochelle - Montpellier	33:43 ✺
31.01.26	Montpellier - Stade Français	44:7 ✺
25.01.26	Toulon - Montpellier	30:27 ✺
Challenge Cup Rugby
17.01.26	Ospreys - Montpellier	26:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

French Top 14
01.11.25	Montpellier - Clermont	7:9
07.06.25	Montpellier - Clermont	10:23
28.12.24	Clermont - Montpellier	18:22
08.06.24	Clermont - Montpellier	52:15
11.11.23	Montpellier - Clermont	17:20
04.03.23	Montpellier - Clermont	34:6
03.12.22	Clermont - Montpellier	19:14

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