Match Info

Heartland Championships - Round 7

Date: 26 September 2025, Friday


	Buller		East Coast

	1	X	2
	1.4	29	3
	1.4	29	2.97
	1.38	25	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.4)	27.67 ↓ (29)	2.96 ↓ (3.01)

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Buller
65.7%

Draw
3.3%

East Coast
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.2%

3.2%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9%

3.5%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Buller has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

East Coast has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buller than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for East Coast than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

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Preview

In recent games, both teams have suffered a series of defeats.

In this match, Buller is the team to beat.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Buller won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 201:119. (average 40.2:23.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Buller won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 108:41. (average 54:20.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Buller Rugby Football Union
Heartland Championships
19.09.25	Wairarapa Bush - Buller	73:27 ✺
12.09.25	Buller - Thames Valley	5:40 ✺
05.09.25	Poverty Bay - Buller	38:3 ✺
29.08.25	Buller - South Canterbury	24:64
22.08.25	Buller - Whanganui	24:51
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- East Coast Rugby Football Union
Heartland Championships
19.09.25	Thames Valley - East Coast	84:5 ✺
12.09.25	East Coast - Whanganui	19:64 ✺
05.09.25	Mid Canterbury - East Coast	82:7 ✺
29.08.25	East Coast - North Otago	19:48 ✺
22.08.25	East Coast - West Coast	21:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Heartland Championships
16.08.24	East Coast - Buller	11:13 OT
15.10.21	East Coast - Buller	50:26
23.08.19	Buller - East Coast	54:19
29.09.17	East Coast - Buller	17:54
23.09.16	Buller - East Coast	54:22

Buller - East Coast: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide