Match Info

Heartland Championships - Round 4

Date: 5 September 2025, Friday


	Poverty Bay		Buller

	1	X	2
	1.08	28	7.7
	1.08	28	7.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.08 ↑ (1.02)	28 ↓ (30)	7.7 ↓ (12.2)

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-22)

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Poverty Bay
84.8%

Draw
3.3%

Buller
11.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

89.5%

7.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Poverty Bay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Buller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (12 - 3)
2nd Half (26 - 0)

Preview

In this match, Poverty Bay is the obvious favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Poverty Bay won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 73:107. (average 24.3:35.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Poverty Bay won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 45:71. (average 22.5:35.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Poverty Bay Rugby Football Union
Heartland Championships
29.08.25	Horowhenua-Kapiti - Poverty Bay	19:26 ✺
22.08.25	King Country - Poverty Bay	47:26 ✺
15.08.25	Poverty Bay - East Coast	18:8 ✺
04.10.24	Mid Canterbury - Poverty Bay	47:24
27.09.24	Poverty Bay - Thames Valley	17:71
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.3 WLWLL
- Buller Rugby Football Union
Heartland Championships
29.08.25	Buller - South Canterbury	24:64
22.08.25	Buller - Whanganui	24:51
15.08.25	Horowhenua-Kapiti - Buller	59:14 ✺
04.10.24	North Otago - Buller	55:14
27.09.24	Buller - Mid Canterbury	14:59
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Heartland Championships
13.09.24	Buller - Poverty Bay	36:28
12.10.18	Poverty Bay - Buller	27:41
09.09.16	Poverty Bay - Buller	18:30

Poverty Bay - Buller: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide