Match Info

World Rugby Nations Cup - Round 2

Date: 11 July 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	11:00	Stan Sport
Canada	21:00	TSN 2, TSN+
New Zealand	13:00	Sky Sport 7
International	01:00	RugbyPass TV


	Canada		Portugal

	1	X	2
	2.96	22.54	1.37
	2.8	23	1.47	Watch
	3.05	23	1.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↑ (2.86)	22.85 ↓ (24.5)	1.41 ↓ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 55.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Canada
31.1%

Draw
4%

Portugal
64.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.3%

3.8%

63.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Canada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Portugal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Canada - Portugal Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Portugal will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 25:32

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Martinez C.	1. Lopes L.
2. Quattrin A. (C)	2. Begic L.
3. Keith C.	3. Thomas C.
4. Von Dadelszen P.	4. Bello M.
5. Kelly I.	5. Torgal D.
6. Flesch M.	6. Madeira J.
7. Olmstead E.	7. Granate J.
8. Parry S.	8. Monteiro J.
9. Higgins J.	9. Marques S.
10. Nelson P.	10. Aubry H.
11. Flesch N.	11. Cardoso Pinto M.
12. McIndoe J.	12. Appleton T.
13. Jones S.	13. Vasconcelos G.
14. Tremblay K.	14. Storti R.
15. McMullin T.	15. Pinto V.
Substitutes
16. Dewy	16. da Cunha A.
17. Miller S.	17. Mascarenhas N.
18. Steeves K.	18. Prim A.
19. Doyle D.	19. Costa G.
20. Nhanala C.	20. de C. A.
21. Gallagher B.	21. Gomes Camacho H.
22. James L.	22. Faro M.
23. Ince J.	23. Almeida A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (7 - 12)
18', McMullin T. (Try),
19', Nelson P. (Conversion Goal),
29', Marques S. (Try),
37', Appleton T. (Try),
37', Marques S. (Conversion Goal),
40', McMullin T. ↓, James L. ↑,
2nd Half (7 - 26)
41', James L. ↓, McMullin T. ↑,
42', Vasconcelos G. (Try),
43', Marques S. (Conversion Goal),
47', Storti R. (Try),
48', Higgins J. ↓, Gallagher B. ↑,
51', Storti R. (Try),
52', Marques S. (Conversion Goal),
54', Thomas C. ↓, Prim A. ↑,
54', Begic L. ↓, Mascarenhas N. ↑,
54', Lopes L. ↓, da Cunha A. ↑,
56', Appleton T. (Try),
56', Marques S. (Conversion Goal),
56', Kelly I. ↓, Nhanala C. ↑,
56', Martinez C. ↓, Miller S. ↑,
56', Keith C. ↓, Steeves K. ↑,
57', Cardoso Pinto M. ↓, Faro M. ↑,
57', Marques S. ↓, Gomes Camacho H. ↑,
57', Appleton T. ↓, Almeida A. ↑,
60', Von Dadelszen P. ↓, Doyle D. ↑,
62', Torgal D. ↓, Costa G. ↑,
62', Marques S. ↓, de C. A. ↑,
64', McIndoe J. ↓, Ince J. ↑,
67', Quattrin A. ↓, Dewy ↑,
79', Gallagher B. (Try),
80', Nelson P. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

Portugal could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Canada won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 44:53. (average 22:26.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Canada rugby
World Rugby Nations Cup
04.07.26	Canada - Spain	42:42 ✺
Friendly International Rugby Union
22.11.25	Portugal - Canada	33:27 ✺
15.11.25	Georgia - Canada	38:17 ✺
08.11.25	Romania - Canada	31:21 ✺
Pacific Nations Cup Rugby Union
20.09.25	Tonga - Canada	35:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TLLLL
- Portugal rugby
World Rugby Nations Cup
04.07.26	USA - Portugal	30:29 ✺
Rugby Europe Championship
15.03.26	Georgia - Portugal	17:19 ✺
08.03.26	Portugal - Spain	26:7 ✺
22.02.26	Portugal - Romania	44:7 ✺
14.02.26	Germany - Portugal	12:68 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Friendly International Rugby Union
22.11.25	Portugal - Canada	33:27
06.11.21	Portugal - Canada	20:17

Canada - Portugal