Match Info

World Rugby Nations Cup - Round 3

Date: 18 July 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	10:00	Stan Sport
Canada	20:00	TSN+
International	00:00	RugbyPass TV


	Canada		Zimbabwe

	1	X	2
	1.43	25	2.85
	1.41	24.07	2.77
	1.44	31	2.83
	1.43	25	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.3)	26.27 ↓ (34)	2.83 ↓ (3.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 58.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-9)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Canada
64.1%

Draw
3.5%

Zimbabwe
32.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

71%

2.7%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Canada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Canada's form might have worsened.

Zimbabwe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zimbabwe's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Canada - Zimbabwe Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Canada will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 34:25

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Martinez C.	1. Visser T.
2. Quattrin A. (C)	2. Chiang B.
3. Keith C.	3. Mudariki F.
4. Olmstead E.	4. Porter G.
5. Kelly I.	5. Muzanargwo G.
6. Flesch M.	6. Mavesere T. (C)
7. Parry S.	7. Gwashu T.
8. Rumball L.	8. Burnett A.
9. Higgins J.	9. Gombe T.
10. Coats C.	10. Houston B.
11. Flesch N.	11. Sigauke E.
12. Ince J.	12. Mashawi K.
13. Jones S.	13. Mudzekenyedzi B.
14. Tremblay K.	14. McNab M.
15. Nelson P.	15. Mafura T.
Substitutes
16. DeWitt F.	16. Larkan L.
17. Miller S.	17. Mupunga V.
18. Steeves K.	18. Kundiona C.
19. Doyle D.	19. Fraser J.
20. Nhanala C.	20. Siraha S.
21. Webb S.	21. Khumalo D.
22. Kratz L.	22. Joubert K.
23. James L.	23. Prior I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (13 - 0)
28', Nelson P. (Penalty Goal),
33', Nelson P. (Penalty Goal),
40+1', Flesch M. (Try),
40+2', Nelson P. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (10 - 19)
53', Nelson P. (Penalty Goal),
56', Larkan L. (Try),
57', Prior I. (Conversion Goal),
62', (Penalty Try),
70', Kundiona C. (Try),
71', Prior I. (Conversion Goal),
80', Khumalo D. (Try),

Preview

In this match, Canada is seen as the favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Canada rugby
World Rugby Nations Cup
11.07.26	Canada - Portugal	14:38 ✺
04.07.26	Canada - Spain	42:42 ✺
Friendly International Rugby Union
22.11.25	Portugal - Canada	33:27 ✺
15.11.25	Georgia - Canada	38:17 ✺
08.11.25	Romania - Canada	31:21 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LTLLL
- Zimbabwe rugby
World Rugby Nations Cup
11.07.26	USA - Zimbabwe	31:15 ✺
04.07.26	Tonga - Zimbabwe	36:26 ✺
Friendly International Rugby Union
20.06.26	South Africa A - Zimbabwe	40:0 ✺
14.11.21	Brazil - Zimbabwe	22:24 ✺
SuperSport Rugby Challenge
08.06.19	Zimbabwe - Eastern Province Kings	15:43 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 LLLWL

Canada - Zimbabwe