Match Info
World Rugby Nations Cup - Round 1Date: 4 July 2026, SaturdayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
|---|
Australia | Stan Sport |
New-zealand | Sky Sport 2 |
International | RugbyPass TV |
|
 |
|
 |
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Tonga |
|
Zimbabwe |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.05 |
46 |
8.2 |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.05 ↓ (1.07) |
46 ↑ (41) |
8.2 ↑ (8) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 58.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-19)
- The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Tonga 86.9% | Draw 2% | Zimbabwe 11.1% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Tonga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)Zimbabwe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Tonga - Zimbabwe Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 39:20 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
1. Paea F.
| 1. Mupunga V.
|
2. Moli S.
| 2. Mandioma M.
|
3. Moli A.
| 3. Kumbirai M.
|
4. Tupou J.
| 4. Porter G.
|
5. Poloniati V.
| 5. Muzanargwo G.
|
6. Tuitupou S.
| 6. Mavesere T.
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7. Paea S.
| 7. Utete D.
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8. Pauta O.
| 8. Fraser J.
|
9. Takulua S.
| 9. Mudariki H.
|
10. Pellegrini P.
| 10. Prior I.
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11. Veainu T.
| 11. Sigauke E.
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12. Inisi F.
| 12. Mashawi K.
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13. Tapueluelu J.
| 13. Mudzekenyedzi B.
|
14. Filimone T.
| 14. Gurwe T.
|
15. Havili W.
| 15. Mafura T.
|
| Substitutes |
|---|
16. Lopeti S.
| 16. Chiang B.
|
17. Fisiihoi S.
| 17. Visser T.
|
18. Latu P.
| 18. Kundiona C.
|
19. Ngakuru M.
| 19. Gwashu T.
|
20. Tuipulotu S.
| 20. Siraha S.
|
21. Nginingini S.
| 21. Khumalo D.
|
22. Kata S.
| 22. Houston B.
|
23. Tuitavuki A.
| 23. Gombe T.
|
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (19 - 5)
- 24', Veainu T. (Try),
- 25', Pellegrini P. (Conversion Goal),
- 28', Paea F. (Try),
- 31', Mandioma M. (Try),
- 33', Veainu T. 🟨,
- 38', Inisi F. (Try),
- 39', Pellegrini P. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (17 - 21)
- 44', Kumbirai M. ↓, Kundiona C. ↑,
- 46', Utete D. ↓, Siraha S. ↑,
- 48', Mudariki H. ↓, Gombe T. ↑,
- 50', Paea F. ↓, Fisiihoi S. ↑,
- 50', Moli A. ↓, Latu P. ↑,
- 50', Mashawi K. ↓, Houston B. ↑,
- 54', Takulua S. ↓, Nginingini S. ↑,
- 54', Veainu T. ↓, Kata S. ↑,
- 56', Mavesere T. (Try),
- 57', Prior I. (Conversion Goal),
- 59', Muzanargwo G. (Try),
- 60', Prior I. (Conversion Goal),
- 60', Pellegrini P. 🟨,
- 61', Porter G. ↓, Gwashu T. ↑,
- 65', Sigauke E. (Try),
- 66', Prior I. (Conversion Goal),
- 68', Sigauke E. ↓, Khumalo D. ↑,
- 69', Mandioma M. ↓, Chiang B. ↑,
- 69', Moli S. (Try),
- 70', Havili W. (Conversion Goal),
- 70', Tapueluelu J. ↓, Tuitavuki A. ↑,
- 70', Paea S. ↓, Tuipulotu S. ↑,
- 70', Moli S. ↓, Lopeti S. ↑,
- 76', Tupou J. ↓, Ngakuru M. ↑,
- 78', Fraser J. 🟨,
- 80', Pellegrini P. (Penalty Goal),
- 80+2', (Penalty Try),
Preview
In this match, Tonga is the clear favorite. In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;