Match Info

Pro D2 - Round 21

Date: 20 February 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Canal+ Live 5


	Carcassonne		Nevers

	1	X	2
	1.53	21	2.6
	1.53	21	2.55
	1.55	20.63	2.64	Watch
	1.53	21	2.63
	1.51	15	2.67
	1.52	26	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.52)	20.77 ↑ (20.5)	2.62 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 43.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carcassonne
60.3%

Draw
4.4%

Nevers
35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

4.6%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Carcassonne have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Nevers have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carcassonne than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nevers than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Carcassonne - Nevers Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Nevers will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 24:20

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (21 - 21)
2nd Half (21 - 10)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carcassonne won 1.

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Nevers may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Carcassonne is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Carcassonne won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 319:346. (average 22.8:24.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Carcassonne won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 211:97. (average 35.2:16.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
16	Nevers	6	0	0	6	139:184	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Carcassonne
French Pro D2
13.02.26	Vannes - Carcassonne	26:0 ✺
30.01.26	Carcassonne - Provence Rugby	19:23 ✺
23.01.26	Valence Romans Drôme - Carcassonne	24:17 ✺
16.01.26	Carcassonne - US Dax	20:15 ✺
09.01.26	Oyonnax Rugby - Carcassonne	33:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLLWL
- USO Nevers
French Pro D2
12.02.26	Nevers - Colomiers	27:39 ✺
30.01.26	Agen - Nevers	53:7 ✺
23.01.26	Nevers - Mont-De-Marsan	29:26 ✺
16.01.26	Nevers - Provence Rugby	10:45 ✺
09.01.26	SA XV Charente - Nevers	27:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

French Pro D2
12.09.25	Nevers - Carcassonne	26:17
03.03.23	Nevers - Carcassonne	49:6
09.12.22	Carcassonne - Nevers	25:20
19.05.22	Nevers - Carcassonne	24:12
08.04.22	Nevers - Carcassonne	19:17
17.12.21	Carcassonne - Nevers	26:25
14.03.21	Carcassonne - Nevers	59:5

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