Match Info

Pro D2 - Round 19

Date: 30 January 2026, Friday


	Carcassonne		Provence Rugby

	1	X	2
	4	26	1.25
	4	25	1.25
	3.78	22.41	1.31	Watch
	3.75	23	1.29
	4.1	30	1.25
	4	31	1.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.94 ↓ (4.34)	26.24 ↑ (23.28)	1.27 ↑ (1.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 47.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-9)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carcassonne
23.5%

Draw
3.5%

Provence Rugby
73%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.5%

74.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carcassonne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Provence Rugby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Carcassonne - Provence Rugby Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Provence will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 20:29

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (7 - 13)
2nd Half (12 - 10)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carcassonne won 1.

Carcassonne has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Provence Rugby is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Provence Rugby is considered a favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Carcassonne won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 308:302. (average 22:21.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Carcassonne won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 173:127. (average 24.7:18.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
3	Provence Rugby	5	5	0	0	160:108	21

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Carcassonne
French Pro D2
23.01.26	Valence Romans Drôme - Carcassonne	24:17 ✺
16.01.26	Carcassonne - US Dax	20:15 ✺
09.01.26	Oyonnax Rugby - Carcassonne	33:7 ✺
19.12.25	Carcassonne - SA XV Charente	35:31 ✺
12.12.25	Brive - Carcassonne	53:16 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLWL
- Provence Rugby
French Pro D2
23.01.26	Provence Rugby - Stade Aurillacois	26:10 ✺
16.01.26	Nevers - Provence Rugby	10:45 ✺
08.01.26	Provence Rugby - FC Grenoble	45:15 ✺
19.12.25	Mont-De-Marsan - Provence Rugby	25:23 ✺
12.12.25	Provence Rugby - Béziers	38:18 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

French Pro D2
28.11.25	Provence Rugby - Carcassonne	48:16
05.05.23	Carcassonne - Provence Rugby	34:14
02.12.22	Provence Rugby - Carcassonne	23:6
18.02.22	Provence Rugby - Carcassonne	24:20
08.10.21	Carcassonne - Provence Rugby	28:30
16.04.21	Provence Rugby - Carcassonne	18:34
30.10.20	Carcassonne - Provence Rugby	30:31

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