Match Info
Top 14 - Round 5Date: 4 October 2025, SaturdayLocation: Stade Pierre-Fabre (Castres)Where to Watch on TV: | |
|---|
 France | CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 6 |
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 |
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Castres |
|
Racing Métro |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.36 |
23 |
3.2 |
|
 |
1.33 |
23 |
3 |
|
 |
1.33 |
24 |
3.35 |
|
 |
1.35 |
24.27 |
3.33 |
 Watch |
 |
1.34 |
19 |
3.44 |
|
 |
1.33 |
24 |
3.5 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.34 ↑
(1.32) |
22.88 ↑
(19.5) |
3.3 ↓
(3.53) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 48.00
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)
- The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Castres
68.3% | Draw
4% | Racing Métro
27.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Racing Métro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)Predictions
Users Predictions:
1 users predict this event. Castres will win (votes: 1 - 100%).
Score Prediction (the most likely result by bookmakers): 28:21 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
1.  Galisson L.
| 1.  Gogichashvili G.
|
2. Durand T.
| 2. Basse Y.
|
3.  Collier W.
| 3. Kharaishvili G.
|
4. Ducat G.
| 4. Kpoku J.
|
5.  Staniforth T.
| 5.  Rowlands W.
|
6. Babillot M. (C)
| 6. Baudonne M.
|
7. Vanverberghe F.
| 7.  Tagitagivalu L.
|
8.  Tukino F.
| 8. Hughes N.
|
9.  Arata S.
| 9. Labarbe K.
|
10. Guilhot L.
| 10. Gibert A.
|
11. Vargas A.
| 11. Donguy N.
|
12. Goodhue J.
| 12.  Manu J.
|
13. Botitu V.
| 13. Habosi V.
|
14.  Ambadiang C.
| 14. Hulleu W.
|
15. Chabouni T.
| 15. Spring M. (C)
|
| Substitutes |
|---|
16. Colonna P.
| 16. Tarrit J.
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17. Tichit A.
| 17. Jabea Njocke E.
|
18.  Ardron T.
| 18. Lainault T.
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19. Papalii A.
| 19. Joseph J.
|
20. Doubrere G.
| 20. Zinzen N.
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21. Mouandjo A. H.
| 21. Carbonneau L.
|
22. Cocagi A.
| 22. Fickou G.
|
23. Corato N.
| 23. Bamba D.
|
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (6 - 6)
- 3', Guilhot L. (Penalty Goal),
- 15', Spring M. (Penalty Goal),
- 30', Gibert A. (Penalty Goal),
- 38', Guilhot L. (Penalty Goal),
- 2nd Half (14 - 10)
- 45', Gibert A. (Penalty Goal),
- 49', Habosi V. (Try),
- 49', Gibert A. (Conversion Goal),
- 73', Colonna P. (Try),
- 73', Mouandjo A. H. (Conversion Goal),
- 80+2', Papalii A. (Try),
- 80+2', Mouandjo A. H. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Castres won 2. In this match, Castres is seen as the favorite.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Castres won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 12 matches, and goals 381:459. (average 19.1:23).Including home matches between the teams, Castres won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 178:171. (average 19.8:19).
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| French Top 14 | | | 25.01.25 | Racing Métro - Castres | 20:27 | | 07.09.24 | Castres - Racing Métro | 31:28 | | 23.03.24 | Castres - Racing Métro | 21:23 | | 06.01.24 | Racing Métro - Castres | 34:30 | | 31.12.22 | Castres - Racing Métro | 26:26 | | 03.09.22 | Racing Métro - Castres | 25:19 | | 26.02.22 | Racing Métro - Castres | 45:25 |
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