Match Info
Top 14 - Round 3Date: 20 September 2025, SaturdayLocation: Stade Pierre-Fabre (Castres)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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France | CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 4 |
United-kingdom | FloSports app |
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Castres |
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Aviron Bayonnais |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 50.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-10)
- The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Castres 73.3% | Draw 3.6% | Aviron Bayonnais 23.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)Aviron Bayonnais has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Castres - Aviron Bayonnais Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:20 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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1. Galisson L.
| 1. Bordelai A.
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2. Durand T.
| 2. Martin L.
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3. Corato N.
| 3. Setiano E.
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4. Ducat G.
| 4. Heguy B.
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5. Staniforth T.
| 5. Johnson E.
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6. Delaporte B.
| 6. Fischer A.
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7. Ardron T.
| 7. Capilla E.
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8. Tukino F.
| 8. Habel Kueffner G.
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9. Arata S.
| 9. Jantjies H.
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10. Le Brun L.
| 10. Anscombe G.
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11. Vargas A.
| 11. Megdoud N.
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12. Goodhue J.
| 12. Mori F.
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13. Botitu V.
| 13. Maqala S.
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14. Ambadiang C.
| 14. Hannoun V.
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15. Chabouni T.
| 15. Orabe Y.
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| Substitutes |
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16. Zarantonello L.
| 16. Bosch F.
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17. Tichit A.
| 17. Castillon P.
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18. Vanverberghe F.
| 18. Moon A.
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19. Babillot M.
| 19. Chouzenoux B.
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20. Cope B.
| 20. Germain B.
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21. Doubrere G.
| 21. Segonds J.
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22. Popelin P.
| 22. Martocq G.
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23. Collier W.
| 23. Cotet P.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (19 - 3)
- 3', Ambadiang C. 🟨,
- 13', Anscombe G. (Penalty Goal),
- 17', Setiano E. 🟨,
- 25', Bordelai A. 🟨,
- 28', Ambadiang C. (Try),
- 34', Arata S. (Try),
- 34', Popelin P. (Conversion Goal),
- 40', Botitu V. (Try),
- 40', Popelin P. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (29 - 14)
- 47', Martin L. (Try),
- 47', Anscombe G. (Conversion Goal),
- 54', Popelin P. (Penalty Goal),
- 57', Collier W. (Try),
- 57', Popelin P. (Conversion Goal),
- 59', Ambadiang C. (Try),
- 68', Popelin P. (Try),
- 68', Popelin P. (Conversion Goal),
- 80', Fischer A. (Try),
- 80', Segonds J. (Conversion Goal),
- 80+2', Goodhue J. (Try),
- 80+3', Popelin P. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Castres won 3. In this match, Castres is a strong favorite.In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Castres won 11 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 474:344. (average 26.3:19.1).Including home matches between the teams, Castres won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 325:125. (average 36.1:13.9).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| French Top 14 | | | 31.05.25 | Castres - Aviron Bayonnais | 33:3 | | 28.12.24 | Aviron Bayonnais - Castres | 33:12 | | 08.06.24 | Aviron Bayonnais - Castres | 17:28 | | 02.09.23 | Castres - Aviron Bayonnais | 37:0 | | 25.02.23 | Aviron Bayonnais - Castres | 41:10 | | 15.10.22 | Castres - Aviron Bayonnais | 39:22 | | 29.04.21 | Aviron Bayonnais - Castres | 23:26 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;