Match Info
Top 14 - Round 1Date: 6 September 2025, SaturdayLocation: Stade Pierre-Fabre (Castres)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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France | CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 5 |
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Castres |
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Section Paloise |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.4 |
21 |
3.1 |
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1.4 |
26 |
3 |
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 |
1.37 |
21 |
3.15 |
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 |
1.4 |
21 |
2.9 |
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 |
1.37 |
15 |
3.35 |
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1.4 |
19 |
3 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.39 ↓ (1.4) |
20.5 ↓ (21) |
3.08 ↓ (3.1) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 51.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)
- The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Castres 65.8% | Draw 4.5% | Section Paloise 29.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)The chances for Section Paloise have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Castres - Section Paloise Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Castres (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Castres will win
(6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% โ 100%.Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:23 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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1. Tichit A.
| 1. Biziwu D.
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2. Durand T.
| 2. Delhommel Y.
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3. Azar A.
| 3. Laclayat T.
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4. Maravat G.
| 4. Auradou H.
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5. Vanverberghe F.
| 5. Maximin J.
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6. Babillot M.
| 6. Whitelock L.
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7. Ardron T.
| 7. Credoz L.
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8. Papalii A.
| 8. Gorgadze B.
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9. Doubrere G.
| 9. Robson D.
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10. Le Brun L.
| 10. Simmonds J.
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11. Baget R.
| 11. Luc A.
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12. Goodhue J.
| 12. Brau-Boirie F.
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13. Seguret A.
| 13. Decron N.
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14. Hulleu N.
| 14. Grandidier A.
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15. Chabouni T.
| 15. Maddocks J.
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| Substitutes |
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16. Colonna P.
| 16. Parrou H.
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17. Galisson L.
| 17. Seneca R.
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18. Jedrasiak P.
| 18. Capelli M.
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19. Delaporte B.
| 19. Hewat R.
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20. Dupuy C.
| 20. Zegueur S.
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21. Popelin P.
| 21. Souverbie T.
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22. Botitu V.
| 22. Desperes A.
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23. Corato N.
| 23. Papidze G.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (5 - 9)
- 6', Simmonds J. (Penalty Goal),
- 11', Simmonds J. (Penalty Goal),
- 22', Chabouni T. (Try),
- 27', Simmonds J. (Penalty Goal),
- 2nd Half (10 - 8)
- 45', Le Brun L. (Penalty Goal),
- 50', Simmonds J. (Penalty Goal),
- 62', Auradou H. 🟨,
- 74', Maddocks J. (Try),
- 79', Dupuy C. (Try),
- 80', Popelin P. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Castres won 3. In this match, Castres is considered a favorite.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Castres won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 478:429. (average 23.9:21.5).Including home matches between the teams, Castres won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 283:181. (average 28.3:18.1).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| French Top 14 | | | 04.01.25 | Castres - Section Paloise | 24:19 | | 12.10.24 | Section Paloise - Castres | 33:26 | | 03.02.24 | Section Paloise - Castres | 33:44 | | 19.08.23 | Castres - Section Paloise | 24:23 | | 06.05.23 | Section Paloise - Castres | 40:3 | | 04.12.22 | Castres - Section Paloise | 26:22 | | 05.06.22 | Section Paloise - Castres | 16:26 |
|
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;