Match Info

Top 14 - Round 1

Date: 7 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Stade Marcel-Michelin (Clermont-Ferrand)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 1
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player


	Clermont		Toulouse

	1	X	2
	2.75	23	1.48
	2.62	21	1.53
	2.75	22	1.46
	2.47	15.73	1.63	Watch
	2.62	19	1.44
	2.85	17	1.45
	2.6	20	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.6)	19.68 ↓ (20.5)	1.5 ↓ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 46.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Clermont
34.4%

Draw
4.7%

Toulouse
61%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

4.5%

60.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Clermont has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Toulouse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Clermont - Toulouse Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Clermont will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Toulouse will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Clermont (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 20:26

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Falgoux E.	1. Neti R.
2. Massa B.	2. Cramont G.
3. Ojovan C.	3. Aldegheri D.
4. Lanen T.	4. Flament T.
5. Ceyte T.	5. Meafou E.
6. Tixeront K.	6. Banos L.
7. Hemery A.	7. Jelonch A.
8. Sowakula P.	8. Ntamack T.
9. Jauneau B.	9. Graou P.
10. Plummer H.	10. Ntamack R.
11. Fall Y.	11. Lebel M.
12. Darricarrere L.	12. Ahki P.
13. Loaloa A.	13. Barassi P.
14. Tauzin L.	14. Delibes D.
15. Hamdaoui K.	15. Ramos T.
Substitutes
16. Faingaa F.	16. Lacombre T.
17. Akhaladze G.	17. Baille C.
18. Simmons R.	18. Verge C.
19. Tolofua S.	19. Cros F.
20. Zamora L.	20. Roumat A.
21. Segundo J.	21. Saito N.
22. Fouyssac P.	22. Gourgues K.
23. Montagne R.	23. Merkler J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (14 - 17)
5', Massa B. (Try),
9', Plummer H. (Penalty Goal),
16', Ojovan C. 🟨,
18', Graou P. (Try),
19', Ramos T. (Conversion Goal),
23', Cramont G. (Try),
24', Ramos T. (Conversion Goal),
26', Plummer H. (Penalty Goal),
30', Plummer H. (Penalty Goal),
32', Ramos T. (Penalty Goal),
2nd Half (10 - 17)
43', Plummer H. (Penalty Goal),
47', Delibes D. (Try),
48', Ramos T. (Conversion Goal),
53', Akhaladze G. (Try),
54', Plummer H. (Conversion Goal),
62', Ramos T. (Penalty Goal),
72', Jelonch A. (Try),
72', Ramos T. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Clermont won 0.

Toulouse might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Clermont won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 15 matches, and goals 405:608. (average 20.3:30.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Clermont won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 210:239. (average 23.3:26.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASM Clermont Auvergne
French Top 14
13.06.25	Aviron Bayonnais - Clermont	20:3 ✺
07.06.25	Montpellier - Clermont	10:23 ✺
31.05.25	Clermont - Stade Français	55:20 ✺
24.05.25	Castres - Clermont	34:29 ✺
17.05.25	Clermont - Perpignan	31:13 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWWLW
- Stade Toulousain
French Top 14
28.06.25	Toulouse - Bordeaux Bègles	39:33 OT ✺
20.06.25	Toulouse - Aviron Bayonnais	32:25 ✺
07.06.25	Perpignan - Toulouse	42:35 ✺
01.06.25	Toulouse - Lyon	43:3 ✺
17.05.25	Toulouse - Racing Métro	35:37 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

French Top 14
16.02.25	Clermont - Toulouse	18:35
12.10.24	Toulouse - Clermont	48:14
25.02.24	Clermont - Toulouse	33:37
25.11.23	Toulouse - Clermont	31:10
01.01.23	Clermont - Toulouse	13:32
08.10.22	Toulouse - Clermont	46:10
01.01.22	Clermont - Toulouse	16:13

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