Match Info

Bunnings NPC

Date: 19 September 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Navigation Homes Stadium (Pukekohe) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	12:05	Stan Sport
Brazil	23:05	Disney+
Chile	23:05	Disney+
Colombia	21:05	Disney+
Mexico	20:05	Disney+
Peru	21:05	Disney+
Uruguay	23:05	Disney+
Venezuela	22:05	Disney+


	Counties Manukau		Auckland

	1	X	2
	2.16	25	1.7
	2.22	21	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.33)	23 ↓ (26)	1.73 ↑ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 60.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Counties Manukau
42.3%

Draw
4%

Auckland
53.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.4%

3.5%

57%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

3.5%

56.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Counties Manukau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Auckland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Counties Manukau than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Auckland than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Counties Manukau - Auckland Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Counties Manukau will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Counties Manukau (votes: 1 - 50%). Auckland (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 28:32

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Counties Manukau won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Auckland may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Auckland is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Counties Manukau won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 173:184. (average 21.6:23).

Including home matches between the teams, Counties Manukau won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 86:91. (average 21.5:22.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Counties Manukau
New Zealand NPC
14.09.25	Southland - Counties Manukau	10:64 ✺
04.09.25	Counties Manukau - North Harbour	22:19 ✺
29.08.25	Counties Manukau - Taranaki	22:43 ✺
23.08.25	Otago - Counties Manukau	33:19 ✺
17.08.25	Waikato - Counties Manukau	27:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWLLL
- Auckland Rugby
New Zealand NPC
13.09.25	Auckland - Manawatu	52:29 ✺
07.09.25	Tasman - Auckland	21:29 ✺
30.08.25	Wellington - Auckland	36:17 ✺
23.08.25	Auckland - Northland	24:43 ✺
16.08.25	Auckland - Taranaki	8:50 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

New Zealand NPC
14.09.19	Counties Manukau - Auckland	13:28
18.08.18	Auckland - Counties Manukau	23:19
19.08.17	Counties Manukau - Auckland	16:14
17.09.16	Auckland - Counties Manukau	26:30
10.10.15	Counties Manukau - Auckland	16:31
08.10.14	Counties Manukau - Auckland	41:18
04.09.13	Auckland - Counties Manukau	22:20

Counties Manukau - Auckland: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide