Match Info

NEW ZEALAND: Bunnings NPC - Round 8

Date: 27 September 2024, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Navigation Homes Stadium (Pukekohe) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	17:05	Stan Sport
New Zealand	19:05	Sky Sport 2
South Africa	09:05	SuperSport Rugby


	Counties Manukau		Wellington

	1	X	2
	4	26	1.22
	4.45	23	1.23
	4.71	24.72	1.22	Watch
	4.5	26	1.17
	4.52	20	1.23
	4.45	23	1.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.44 ↓ (4.99)	23.79 ↓ (40)	1.22 ↑ (1.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 58.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-12)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Counties Manukau
20.7%

Draw
3.9%

Wellington
75.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

18.6%

2.3%

79.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Counties Manukau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Wellington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Counties Manukau - Wellington Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 23:35

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kaivelata K.	1. Numia X.
2. West-Stevens I.	2. Apisai L.
3. van Staden K.	3. Lauaki S.
4. Furniss W.	4. Ropeti D.
5. Ngatai-Tafau L.	5. Delany C.
6. Motuga A.	6. Shields B.
7. Brash A.	7. Lakai P.
8. Sotutu H.	8. Avei-Collins J.
9. Taumateine J.	9. Muriwai N.
10. Alatimu A. M.	10. Garden-Bachop J.
11. Gray J.	11. Solomon S.
12. Hohepa R.	12. Higgins R.
13. Ofa T.	13. Umaga-Jensen P.
14. Makiri B.	14. Savea J.
15. Toleafoa S.	15. Clarke T.
Substitutes
16. Muli N.	16. Tuiloma L.
17. Lindenmuth E.	17. Kamimori Y.
18. Asomua S.	18. Sheck P.
19. Kingi J.	19. Paulo F.
20. Church C.	20. Petaia M.
21. Daniela L.	21. Preston K.
22. Popoali’i G.	22. Harkin C.
23. Malimali P.	23. Maiava T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (24 - 0)
13', Alatimu A. M. (Penalty Goal),
27', Kaivelata K. (Try),
28', Alatimu A. M. (Conversion Goal),
36', Alatimu A. M. (Try),
37', Alatimu A. M. (Conversion Goal),
40+1', West-Stevens I. (Try),
40+2', Alatimu A. M. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (27 - 14)
43', Alatimu A. M. (Penalty Goal),
53', Toleafoa S. (Try),
54', Alatimu A. M. (Conversion Goal),
58', Church C. (Try),
59', Alatimu A. M. (Conversion Goal),
62', Brash A. (Try),
63', Alatimu A. M. (Conversion Goal),
74', Umaga-Jensen P. (Try),
75', Harkin C. (Conversion Goal),
77', Avei-Collins J. (Try),
78', Harkin C. (Conversion Goal),
80+2', Alatimu A. M. (Penalty Goal),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Counties Manukau won 0.

Recent matches Counties Manukau is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Wellington is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Wellington is absolute favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Counties Manukau won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 218-386.

Including matches at home between the teams Counties Manukau won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 161-260.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Counties Manukau
New Zealand NPC
20.09.24	Canterbury - Counties Manukau	36:28 ✺
14.09.24	Counties Manukau - Otago	45:17 ✺
08.09.24	Counties Manukau - Northland	25:14 ✺
30.08.24	North Harbour - Counties Manukau	33:36 ✺
23.08.24	Counties Manukau - Tasman	3:48 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.3 LWWWL
- Wellington Rugby
New Zealand NPC
20.09.24	Wellington - Bay of Plenty	30:25 OT ✺
14.09.24	Tasman - Wellington	28:15 ✺
11.09.24	Otago - Wellington	28:32 ✺
06.09.24	Wellington - Southland	36:12 ✺
31.08.24	Canterbury - Wellington	21:46 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

New Zealand NPC
02.09.23	Wellington - Counties Manukau	56:25
01.10.22	Counties Manukau - Wellington	31:64
24.10.20	Counties Manukau - Wellington	20:53
29.08.19	Wellington - Counties Manukau	29:22
14.09.18	Counties Manukau - Wellington	12:53
09.09.16	Counties Manukau - Wellington	27:28
27.09.14	Counties Manukau - Wellington	55:7

Counties Manukau - Wellington: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide